119
FXUS64 KHUN 081607
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1107 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM
NEAR TERM
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
DRIER AIR WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE AREA TODAY AS
UPPER TROUGHING PUSHES EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE/UPPER RIDGING OVER
THE WESTERN PLAINS BECOMES BETTER AMPLIFIED. THE CLEARING LINE OF
THE DENSE STRATUS DECK CAN BE SEEN SLOWLY SHIFTING SOUTH THROUGH
WESTERN TN AND SHOULD REACH THE LOCAL AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND COMBINED
WITH THE CLOUD COVER WILL HELP KEEP HIGHS LIMITED TO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. ALTHOUGH THE DRIER AIR MAY BE LAGGING BEHIND A BIT, IT
SHOULD FEEL NOTICEABLY COOLER TODAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S, WITH SOME CLOUDS INCREASING OVER NE AL
TOWARDS THE MORNING HOURS AS A WEAK EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE PASSES
OVER THE AREA.
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TO OUR WEST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE WILL
HELP KEEP DRIER AIR IN PLACE. WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
NORTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST, WE WILL ALSO FEEL THE BENEFITS OF COLD
AIR DAMMING FROM THE APPALACHIANS. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
70S WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S AND 50S EACH NIGHT. SOME OF THE
COOLEST AIR OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AS LOWS SINK TO
THE UPPER 40S ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF THE AREA. THE ONLY
POTENTIAL IMPACT DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
PATCHY FOG IN AND AROUND RIVER VALLEYS AND SHELTERED LOCATIONS.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1037 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A DEVELOPING 500-MB
TROUGH (INITIALLY POSITIONED ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN ATLANTIC
COAST) WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT LIFTS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
THIS WEEKEND. THIS DISTURBANCE MAY THEN BECOME ABSORBED WITHIN THE
FLOW AROUND A MORE COMPACT NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH DIGGING
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES, WITH THIS EVOLUTION RESULTING
IN THE FORMATION OF A LARGE CLOSED LOW IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. WITH NNW WINDS ALOFT PREDICTED TO INCREASE
INTO THE 25-35 KNOT RANGE BETWEEN THE LOW TO OUR EAST AND A
500-MB RIDGE EXTENDING FROM SOUTH TX INTO THE GREAT LAKES, WE
EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGHS WILL
SLOWLY WARM FROM THE 75-80F RANGE ON SATURDAY INTO THE L-M 80S BY
TUESDAY, WITH LOWS ALSO INCREASING FROM THE 45-50F RANGE SUNDAY
MORNING INTO THE L-M 50S EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 957 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
INTERMITTENT FOG AND LOW CEILINGS HAVE INFLUENCED BOTH KMSL AND
KHSV THIS MORNING AND WILL HAVE A MEDIUM-HIGH CHANCE OF CONTINUING
TO DO SO THROUGH 12-13Z. THIS HAS RESULTED IN LIFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS. LOWERED CEILINGS WILL PERSIST AT BOTH SITES THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY SCATTERING OUT/CLEARING. MVFR TO
VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....25
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...HC
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