595
FXUS64 KHUN 280942
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
342 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 902 PM CST THU NOV 27 2025
- BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
- HIGH RAIN CHANCES (70-90%) WILL BE PRESENT SATURDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY NIGHT WITH LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDER.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 342 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2025
EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN TO THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S AS SKIES REMAIN CLEAR AND WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HIGHER
DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS HAVE KEPT FOG FROM FORMING SO FAR AND
OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS SUGGEST FOG FORMATION IS UNLIKELY THROUGH THE
MORNING. NO SIGNIFICANT FORECAST CHANGES WERE NEEDED DURING THE
OVERNIGHT UPDATE.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY, WINDS ALOFT WILL BACK SLIGHTLY GIVING WAY
TO ZONAL FLOW WITH HIGH PRESSURE FILTERING IN FROM THE PLAINS AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER CLEAR AND DRY DAY, HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER. AFTER ABOUT 24 HOURS OF CAA FROM
NW FLOW, HIGHS WILL NOT MAKE OUT OF THE 40S TODAY. MAKE SURE TO
DRESS APPROPRIATELY, ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE VENTURING OUT EARLY. A
FULL WINTER COAT, HATS, AND MITTENS WILL BE DESIRED FOR ANYONE OUT
BEFORE SUNRISE.
SHORT TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 902 PM CST THU NOV 27 2025
CLEAR SKIES ON FRIDAY NIGHT WILL PROMPT ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S. FORTUNATELY, SATURDAY WILL BE
SLIGHTLY WARMER AS SURFACE FLOW BACKS TO THE SSW AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE EVER SO SLIGHT WAA WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO
RISE INTO THE LOW 50S. CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT APPROACHES WITH
WIDESPREAD STRATIFORM RAIN LIKELY ACROSS A MAJORITY OF THE AREA
COME SATURDAY NIGHT. RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS
THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE TN VALLEY. FORTUNATELY THE PREFRONTAL
COOL CONDITIONS WILL LARGELY INHIBIT ANY THUNDER AS INSTABILITY
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LACKING. THERE WILL HOWEVER BE GUSTY
GRADIENT WINDS PRESENT THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE ASSOCIATED
UPPER LEVEL LOW TRANSLATES EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH.
RAIN LOOKS TO SLOWLY TAPER OFF THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY FROM
WEST TO EAST. LIMITED CLEARING ON SUNDAY WILL KEEP HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. DESPITE LINGERING CLOUDS ON SUNDAY NIGHT,
NNW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP BACK INTO THE
HIGH 20S TO LOW 30S MAKING FOR A BRISK START TO THE NEW WORK WEEK.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 902 PM CST THU NOV 27 2025
OUR MAIN FEATURE TO WATCH IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH AND SUBSEQUENT SFC LOW SWINGING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. ENSEMBLES ARE GENERALLY AGREEING ON THE PRESENCE
OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTING INTO OUR AREA, BRINGING WIDESPREAD
SHOWER CHANCES THROUGH THE TN VALLEY ON MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. NO
STRONG OF SEVERE STORMS ARE FORECAST WITH THESE SHOWERS AS
INSTABILITY LOOKS EXTREMELY LOW. THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE NE, OUT OF THE AREA, BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH
SFC HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST. WHILE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS
WERE HINTING AT SOME FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL IN SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN,
RECENT GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TREND DRIER WITH MODEL SOUNDINGS WHEN
TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCES THE AREA. WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY-- WITH LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW
RAIN CHANCES PUSHING BACK INTO THE FORECAST BY THURSDAY EVENING
AHEAD OF ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. HIGHS DURING THE LONG TERM
PERIOD ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40S-50S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
20S-30S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CST THU NOV 27 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT/VAR WINDS PREVAILING.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...25/RAD
SHORT TERM....RAD
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...25
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