199
FXUS64 KHUN 230600
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1200 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1048 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
- WARM TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
60S AND 70S.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
A DENSE LOW STRATUS DECK HAS BEEN PERSISTENT THIS EVENING AND CAN
BE SEEN ON SATELLITE STRETCHING FROM THE CHICAGO AREA SOUTH
THROUGH MUCH OF ALABAMA. THIS CAN BE SEEN ALONG A WEAK UPPER WAVE
THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE NEW ENGLAND COASTAL REGION TOMORROW.
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE ON THE WARM SIDE THANKS TO A BUILDING
UPPER RIDGE CENTERED TO OUR WEST THAT WILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE
WEEK AND WILL ULTIMATELY RESULT IN A WARM CHRISTMAS FOR THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY. WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY FLOW OVERNIGHT
AND WITH THE CLOUD COVER IN PLACE TEMPS WILL REMAIN ON THE WARM
SIDE. EXPECT LOWS IN THE MID 40S (EAST) TO MID 50S (WEST) WITH
WIND GUSTS UP TO 20MPH AT TIMES THROUGH THE MORNING.
LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS WILL EXIST ACROSS FAR NW AL AND
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
UPPER WAVE BECOMES FURTHER DISPLACED FROM THE REGION AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S
TOMORROW WITH DECREASING WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. SOME LOCATIONS MAY
EVEN GET TO SEE THE SUN BEFORE IT SETS TOMORROW, ESPECIALLY IN
LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE TN RIVER.
SHORT TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
UPPER RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT INFLUENCE
ON LOCAL CONDITIONS THROUGH CHRISTMAS DAY WITH DAILY HIGHS IN THE
LOW TO MID 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT WHILE
OFTEN TIMES WARMER TEMPERATURES IN THE WINTER ARE MET WITH SEVERE
WEATHER ON THE BACK END, THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH
THIS WARM WAVE. SOUTHWEST WINDS COULD BE A LITTLE BREEZY AT TIMES
ON CHRISTMAS DAY WITH GUSTS NEARING 20MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON,
BUT NO IMPACTFUL WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
THE FORECAST REMAINS WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE
WEEKEND BEFORE A COLD FRONT BRINGS LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES AND
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. HIGHS
WILL REMAIN IN THE 70S THROUGH SATURDAY WITH LOWS IN THE 50S AND
EVEN LOWER 60S FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN CHANCES
WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SUNDAY MORNING AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. HIGHS WILL REACH THE 60S SUNDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE TEMPS PLUMMET DOWN INTO THE 20S BY MONDAY
MORNING. NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO BE MUCH COLDER WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S
EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK. SO IF YOU LIKE WARMER WEATHER, ENJOY IT
WHILE IT LASTS!
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
AN EXPANSIVE LOW STRATUS CLOUD DECK WITH CEILINGS BROADLY IN MVFR
RANGE PERSISTS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS CLOUD DECK IS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE TO IMPACT KHSV AND KMSL TAF SITES WITH PREDOM MVFR
CEILINGS THROUGH AT LEAST 18Z. THERE IS SOME MODEL AGREEMENT IN
THE LOW CLOUD DECK BEGINNING TO BREAK UP GRADUALLY BETWEEN 18-00Z,
BUT TIMING REMAINS UNCERTAIN. OTHERWISE, LLWS IS EVIDENT IN LOCAL
PROFILERS FROM MIPS AT NSSTC AND THE NEARBY ARM BANKHEAD
SITE...SHOWING SWRLY ~40KT WINDS AROUND 1-1.5 KFT. THERE IS SOME
SUPPORT FOR THIS FROM BUFR SOUNDING GUIDANCE, WHICH TENDS TO SHOW
THE LLWS BEGINNING TO WANE WITHIN SEVERAL HOURS, BUT OB PROFILERS
WILL BE MONITORED IN THE EVENT AN AMENDMENT IS NEEDED.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....25
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...KDW
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