295
FXUS64 KHUN 301127
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
527 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 224 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
- COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT 11 PM TONIGHT THROUGH NOON
SUNDAY FOR DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -5F AND 5F.
- WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 25-35 MPH TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
- LOW CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW (LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED)
TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST AL AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE
TN.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 224 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
THIS MORNING WILL START OFF BELOW FREEZING ONCE AGAIN WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 20S. ENSURE YOU BUNDLE UP FOR YOUR
MORNING COMMUTE AND BUS STOP WAIT BY DRESSING IN LAYERS, AND
HAVING A HAT AND GLOVES.
A PASSING SHORTWAVE THAT WILL PHASE IN WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
DIGGING THROUGH THE MIDWEST WILL BRING US MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TODAY. THAT WON'T LET THE SUN HELP US OUT AT ALL AGAINST THE
BATTLE OF CAA FROM THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT CREATING GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS, 15-20MPH. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE
UPPER 30S IN SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN DOWN TO NW AL AND IN THE LOW TO
MID 40S ELSEWHERE. IN PERSPECTIVE, THIS WILL FEEL QUITE WARM
COMPARED TO TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AS TEMPS WILL ABSOLUTELY TANK
TONIGHT AND CREATE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS. MORE INFORMATION ON
THIS IN THE SHORT TERM.
SHORT TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 930 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE YEAR ARRIVES STARTING FRIDAY NIGHT AS A
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS SOUTHWARD FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST
TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW DROPS ACROSS THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY, A SFC LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OFF THE
GA/SC COAST. GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THIS SYSTEM, LATEST CAMS ARE
SHOWING SOME LIGHT SNOW FALLING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE
TN AND NORTHEAST AL. MOST LIKELY AMOUNTS WOULD BE A DUSTING TO
AROUND A TENTH OF INCH OF SNOW. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN ANY
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS QUITE LOW AS THE MORE PERSISTENT HEAVIER
SNOW SHOULD FALL EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA.
THE GREATER CONCERN LOCALLY WILL BE THE DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND
CHILLS THIS WEEKEND. WINDS OVERNIGHT FRIDAY WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS FROM THE SFC LOW AND
THE ARCTIC HIGH THAT BEGINS TO DROP DOWN ACROSS THE PLAINS. GUSTS
BETWEEN 25-35 MPH FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST GUSTS ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN
NORTHEAST AL. AS TEMPERATURES PLUMMET OVERNIGHT INTO THE TEENS,
WIND CHILLS WILL DROP AS LOW AS -5F BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
STRONG CAA THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SATURDAY WILL PREVENT
TEMPERATURE FROM CLIMBING ABOVE THE LOWER 20S WITH WIND CHILLS IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS. OVERNIGHT LOWS ON SATURDAY DROP DOWN INTO THE
LOWER 10S WITH WIND CHILLS ONCE AGAIN JUST BELOW ZERO. THEREFORE
A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR OUR ENTIRE AREA
STARTING 11 PM FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH NOON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. IF YOU NEED TO GO OUTSIDE DURING THIS TIMEFRAME, PLEASE
REMEMBER TO WEAR MULTIPLE LAYERS AND COVER UP ANY EXPOSED SKIN TO
PREVENT FROSTBITE.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX BY SUNDAY AS THE SFC LOW
MOVES FURTHER UP THE EAST COAST REDUCING THE STRONG WIND GUSTS.
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ONCE AGAIN KEEP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
ON THE COLDER SIDE, BUT NOT NEARLY AS COLD AS SATURDAY. EXPECT
AFTERNOON HIGHS TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. ANOTHER
COLD NIGHT IS IN STORE SUNDAY WITH LOWS DIPPING DOWN INTO THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 930 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL START THE LONG TERM PERIOD AS AN UPPER
RIDGE MAKES ITS WAY TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. THIS RIDGE WILL LIKELY BE
BRIEF, SINCE A RATHER LARGE, POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH LOOKS TO
DEVELOP AND SWING OVER THE REGION FROM MID TO LATE WEEK. AT THE
SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK WILL BE
PUSHED EASTWARD BY A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLATED TO
TRAVERSE THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE LOW WILL THEN DIP SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS
FLORIDA BY THURSDAY. WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER
NEXT WEEK? DRY WEATHER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY OUR
NEXT CHANCE AT PRECIPITATION (30-60%) TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.
CONFIDENCE IS STARTING TO INCREASE THAT MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE RAIN (VERSUS A WINTRY MIX OR SNOW). HIGHS
ARE NOW FORECAST TO REACH THE LOWER TO MID 50S ON TUESDAY AND THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ON WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION, FORECAST LOWS
TUESDAY NIGHT HAVE TRENDED WARMER, WITH VALUES IN THE MID 30S TO
AROUND 40 DEGREES. PRECIPITATION CHANCES DECREASE WEDNESDAY EVENING;
HOWEVER, HOW QUICKLY THE PRECIPITATION ENDS WILL BE SOMETHING TO
WATCH, AS LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE UPPER 20S
TO AROUND 30 DEGREES. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE DOES SUGGEST THAT THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE (10-25%) OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE WEDNESDAY NIGHT,
WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION ACCORDING TO MODEL CLUSTER ANALYSIS.
WE'LL CONTINUE TO KEEP AN EYE ON TRENDS, BUT LITTLE IF ANY IMPACTS
ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 526 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP MID DAY TODAY WITH GUSTS 15-20
KTS, AND GUST 25 KTS OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER TOWARDS THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD. MVFR CIGS WILL FILTER IN SHORTLY AFTER WINDS PICK UP AND
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SUNDAY
FOR ALZ001>010-016.
TN...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SUNDAY
FOR TNZ076-096-097.
NEAR TERM...JMS
SHORT TERM....GH
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...JMS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page