262
FXUS64 KHUN 011700
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1100 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1100 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
- THIS AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL DIMINISH WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
RISING TO AROUND FREEZING.
- MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES OF RAIN ON TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT,
BUT WITH MILDER AIR ARRIVING.
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
VERY CHILLY CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS AND AROUND THE GREATER
TENNESSEE VALLEY. AREA TEMPERATURES AS WE GO NEAR 11 AM WERE
BELOW FREEZING, MOSTLY IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE SITUATED OVER TX/LA REGION WAS THE MAIN FEATURE
CONTROLLING THE AREA'S SENSIBLE WEATHER. A NW-N FLOW ROUNDING THE
HIGH, AND AN DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF
NC WAS PRODUCING WINDS OF 5-10 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS THIS
MORNING. THE EAST COAST SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE FURTHER TO THE NORTH
AND EAST AWAY FROM THE COAST, WHICH WILL RELAX THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND WINDS AS WE GO INTO THE AFTERNOON.
DESPITE THE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST, RESIDUAL LOWER LEVEL
MOISTURE AND WEAK LIFT, ALONG WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES HELPED
TO PRODUCE SNOW FLURRIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. MIXING
FROM DAYTIME HEATING HAS HELPED TO FADE LOWER CLOUDS ACROSS THE
AREA AS WELL AS THE FLURRIES. THE COLD AIR IN PLACE WILL BE SLOW
TO MODERATE DESPITE PLENTY OF SUN EXPECTED THIS MORNING. HIGHS
LATER TODAY SHOULD RISE INTO THE MID 30S. DIRECT SUN UNFORTUNATELY
WILL BE SHORT LIVED, AS CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM NW TO SE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, ACCOMPANYING A WEAK CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVING
IN FROM. NO SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM. CLOUDS THIS
EVENING SHOULD FADE AS WE GO INTO THE LATE NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
HOWEVER WILL NOT BE AS COLD, WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER
20S AND LIGHT WINDS. WIND CHILL AND/OR ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WELL ABOVE COLD WEATHER CRITERIA (COLDER THAN 5F ABOVE).
SHORT TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE START OF A NEW WORK WEEK.
UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES, HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE INTO THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50. LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING SHOULD BECOME
WESTERLY 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT, AS YET ANOTHER AND
STRONGER SYSTEM NEARS FROM THE WEST. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL BRING
MORE CHANCES OF SHOWERS TO THE VALLEY BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING.
THE PRECIPITATION COULD START AS A BRIEF RAIN/SNOW MIX WHEN IT
STARTS, BUT WILL BECOME ALL LIQUID AS WE GO INTO THE DAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. DESPITE THE CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES, HIGH
TEMPERATURES TUESDAY SHOULD RISE INTO THE MID 50S. A COLD FRONT
WITH THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT,
RESULTING IN THE SHOWERS ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST. LOWS SHOULD
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 30S. RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD
RANGE AROUND 1/3 OF AN INCH.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 813 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
ON WEDNESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH
PORTIONS OF AL AND INTO GA BRINGING AN END TO THE LIGHT RAIN FROM
OVERNIGHT. WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE SOUTHEAST
DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WE REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE CHILLY IN THE LOWER 20S, ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WHEN WINDS GUSTING 15-20 MPH AT TIMES BRINGING WIND CHILLS DOWN
INTO THE LOWER TEENS. HOWEVER, BY FRIDAY THIS TROUGH WILL LIFT TO
THE NORTHEAST KEEPING BOTH THE COLD AIR AND THE PRECIP WELL TO OUR
NORTH. WEAK RIDGING WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, BUT NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL LIMIT ANY MASSIVE
WARMUP. THAT BEING SAID, AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY RETURN
TO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S, WHICH IS NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 538 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
KMSL REMAINS ON THE OUTER FRINGE OF A DECK OF CLOUDS THAT HAVE MVFR
CIGS. MSL MAY BOUNCE BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR DUE TO THIS SO KEPT
THEM AT THE MIN VFR OF 030 AT THIS TIME. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
SLACK LATER THIS MORNING AND WILL THEN BACK THROUGHOUT THE DAY TO
BECOME A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WIND. THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT,
THERE WILL BE ANOTHER DECK OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS THAT WILL STREAM IN
BUT CIGS SHOULD REMAIN VFR.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...RSB
SHORT TERM....RSB
LONG TERM....GH
AVIATION...JMS
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