959
FXUS64 KHUN 020936
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
336 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 801 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
- MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES OF RAIN ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY.
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 336 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
CURRENT TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE
TENNESSEE ARE GENERALLY IN THE MID 20S. THESE MAY FALL A FEW MORE
DEGREES BY SUNRISE; HOWEVER, THERE ARE MORE PESKY, MIDLEVEL CLOUDS
MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS MAY HINDER
RADIATIONAL COOLING A BIT AND PREVENT LOWS FROM DIPPING MUCH
FURTHER. REGARDLESS, IT IS GOING TO BE A CHILLY MORNING! MAKE SURE
TO BUNDLE UP WHEN HEADING OUT THE DOOR THIS MORNING!
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS SHOWN TO TRANSITION TO BRIEF UPPER
RIDGING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. THIS, ALONG WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE DRAPED FROM THE APPALACHIANS DOWN THROUGH THE NORTH-
CENTRAL GULF COAST WILL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST THROUGH THE
DAY. IN FACT, IT WILL BE FAIRLY DRY, WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 DEGREES AND DEW POINTS IN THE 20S. THIS
DRYNESS CAN ALSO BE SEEN THROUGHOUT THE ATMOSPHERE VIA MODEL
SOUNDINGS, ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE, THE MIDLEVEL
CLOUDS THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST BY MID-
MORNING WITH LITTLE TO NO CLOUDS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON. ENJOY
THE TRANQUIL WEATHER TODAY, SINCE TOMORROW LOOKS TO BE A RAINY
DAY (SEE MORE BELOW)!
SHORT TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 801 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIP ARRIVES ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTH ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST TOWARDS THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY. A SFC LOW DEVELOPS NEAR THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
AND EJECTS EASTWARD TOWARDS THE MID ATLANTIC. TO THE SOUTH OF
THIS LOW, A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT ARRIVING, WAA WILL
HELP WARM TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S. RAIN CHANCES
BEGIN TO INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES
(60-80%) OF RAIN TUESDAY EVENING INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A LITTLE ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND THEREFORE
CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN
THIS IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE INTO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AT THIS
TIME.
ONCE THE COLD FRONT PASSES DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY, RAIN WILL
COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST. SFC WINDS BECOME NORTHERLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING IN A COLDER AIRMASS. EXPECT GRADIENT
WINDS TO INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AS TEMPERATURES DROP DOWN INTO THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT, WIND
CHILLS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 801 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
AFTER THE TROUGH AND FRONT THAT BRINGS RAIN ON WEDNESDAY SHIFTS
SOUTHEAST, DEEP LAYER NORTHWEST FLOW WILL FOLLOW LATE THIS WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND WITH A RIDGE POSITION IN THE ROCKIES SHIFTING INTO
PLAINS STATES. ALTHOUGH NO BITTERLY COLD AIR IS EXPECTED, A ROLLER
COASTER OF TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR, WITH INTERVALS OF MODERATE
WARMING AND COOLING. AFTER HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S
THURSDAY, READINGS REACH THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S FRIDAY, THEN DROP
BACK INTO THE 40S TO AROUND 50 SATURDAY. THEN ITS BACK INTO THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 50S SUNDAY. WITH A CONTINENTAL AIRMASS AND DRY AIR,
TEMPERATURES WILL STILL DIP BELOW FREEZING EACH MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM....GH
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...GH
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page