798
FXUS64 KHUN 040355
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
955 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 955 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
- LIGHT DRIZZLE/VERY LOW CLOUDS COUPLED WITH PATCHY TO DENSE FOG WILL
LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND WILL FOLLOW FROM THURSDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 955 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
LIGHT RAIN CONTINUES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AHEAD OF A
POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH AND SUBSEQUENT COLD FRONT. A DROP IN
VISIBILITIES HAS ACCOMPANIED THE RAINFALL DUE TO VERY LOW CLOUD
CEILINGS (AROUND 300-500 FT IN SOME AREAS). IN ELEVATED AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN AL AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN, VISIBILITIES ARE DROPPING
AS LOW AS 1 MILE. ADDITIONAL VISIBILITY ISSUES WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REGION INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. IF
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG BECOMES A POTENTIAL HAZARD, A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE FORECAST TO
DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
WEDNESDAY, THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO
SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE TN VALLEY- RESULTING IN CONTINUED
CLOUD COVER. NW FLOW WILL RESULT IN RELATIVELY COOLER
TEMPERATURES PERSISTING OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK
WEEK. HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN CAPPED IN THE 40S BEFORE
DROPPING INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 955 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
UNDER NORTHWESTERN FLOW, COOLER TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE 40S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS DROPPING
INTO THE 20S. THE STOUT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO SHIFT
NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE TN VALLEY BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND SFC
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. ON FRIDAY, A
WARMING TREND BEGINS AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD INTO
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. HIGHS ON FRIDAY ARE FORECAST TO WARM INTO
THE 50S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 955 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
THE WARMING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND SUBSEQUENT SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE THE AREA. DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AS
HIGHS WARM INTO THE 60S BY SUNDAY. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE AROUND
5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE MAIN FEATURE
IN THE LONG TERM TO MONITOR WILL BE THE TRACK OF A POTENTIAL COLD
FRONT FORECAST TO PUSH SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA INTO THE APPALACHIAN
REGION. IF THIS FRONT SHIFTS MORE SOUTHWARD THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST, TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN CURRENTLY
EXPECTED. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THESE TRENDS THROUGH THE
WEEK. AT THE TAIL END OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD INTO MID WEEK, WE
ARE MONITORING RAIN CHANCES RETURNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
IS CURRENTLY PROJECTED IN GLOBAL MODELS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 541 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
IFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
AS LOWERED CLOUD CEILINGS INFLUENCE THE TN VALLEY. LIGHT RAIN
CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE AREA IS FORECAST TO PUSH OUT OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS (BY 03-05Z) AND VISIBILITIES SHOULD IMPROVE.
HOWEVER, WE ARE MONITORING A LOW CHANCE OF PATCHY TO DENSE FOG
FORMATION. AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...HC
SHORT TERM....HC
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...HC
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