907
FXUS64 KHUN 221036
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
436 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 914 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
- BREEZY CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH WINDS GUSTING 20-25
MPH.
- VERY COLD SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S WITH WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 6-12F
EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
- A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TUESDAY, WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS ON THURSDAY.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 237 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE PUSHES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST, CLOUDS
AND MOISTURE CAN BE SEEN RETREATING EASTWARD FROM THE TN VALLEY.
CLEAR SKIES HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FILTERING IN FROM THE NW. ALOFT, RIDGING
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN THE WESTERN CONUS PLACING OF ON THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A STRONG RIDGE. LOCALLY, THIS PLACES US IN STRONG NW
FLOW BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. NW FLOW WILL BE MAINTAINED
THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND PROMPT STRONG CAA. ALREADY TEMPS HAVE
DROPPED INTO THE MID TO LOW 30S WITH NEAR FREEZING CONDITIONS
FORECAST BY SUNRISE. DESPITE SUNNY SKIES, THE STRONG CAA WILL
LIMIT HIGHS TODAY TO THE LOW TO MID 40S. UNFORTUNATELY THE COOL
TEMPS WILL BE PAIRED WITH GUSTY NW WINDS LIMITING APPARENT
TEMPERATURES TO THE LOW TO MID 30S THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. THE CURRENT FORECAST KEEP GUSTS BELOW WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA WITH HIRES MODELS INDICATING A LOW CHANCE (10-20%) OF
EXCEEDING GUSTS OF 35 MPH, THUS WE HAVE HELD OFF ON THE ISSUANCE
OF A WIND ADVISORY. THE GUSTY AND COLD CONDITIONS WILL BE A STARK
DIFFERENCE IN COMPARISON TO OUR RECENT MILD CONDITIONS. MAKE SURE
TO DRESS APPROPRIATELY IF VENTURING OUTSIDE.
SHORT TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 914 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY SUNDAY NIGHT AND WITH LOW STRATUS
REMAINING TO OUR NORTH AND EAST AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE CLIPS THE
AREA. AS A RESULT, A HARD FREEZE WILL BE IN STORE FOR THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY, WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 20S BEING COMMON
(AND WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 6 TO 12 DEGREES)! MONDAY WILL BE AN
EVEN COLDER DAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH (AND ITS ASSOCIATED
DRY COLD FRONT) CLIPS THE AREA, WITH HIGHS BARELY MAKING IT ABOVE
THE FREEZING MARK -- PEAKING IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. ANOTHER
FREEZE WILL BE IN STORE FOR THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT, WITH LOWS
DROPPING TO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S. SOME GRADUAL RELIEF
WILL BE IN STORE BY TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE BEGINS
TO BUILD BACK FROM THE WEST. AMPLE SUNSHINE AND SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO MODIFY INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S IN
MOST LOCATIONS.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 914 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. DESPITE THE CLOUD COVER, SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL HELP TO PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID
60S. ANOTHER FAST-MOVING TROUGH WILL RIPPLE THROUGH THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, BRINGING MEDIUM TO HIGH
CHANCES (50-80%) FOR RAIN SHOWERS ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THURSDAY NIGHT,
WITH SOME DECENT WETTING RAINS OF BETWEEN 0.5" TO 1.0" FORECAST.
THEREAFTER, WE WILL REMAIN IN ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AND IN A MILD
PATTERN TO CLOSE OUT THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY, WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS AND SOUTHERLY WINDS KEEPING HIGHS IN THE 60S AND LOWS
IN THE 40S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 436 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. GUSTY NW WINDS
WILL BE PRESENT THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD WITH STRONGEST GUSTS NEAR 25
KTS POSSIBLE FROM 18-00Z.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...RAD
SHORT TERM....AMP
LONG TERM....AMP
AVIATION...RAD
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