435
FXUS64 KHUN 161527
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1027 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1026 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LOCATIONS ALONG
AND EAST OF I-65 WITH A TRACE TO INCH OF SNOW IN ELEVATED
TERRAIN FORECAST.
- A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 4 PM TODAY WITH GUSTS
OF 30-35 MPH POSSIBLE.
- A HARD FREEZE IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH A FREEZE WARNING IN
EFFECT BOTH TONIGHT AND TOMORROW NIGHT FOR THE WHOLE AREA.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1026 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
THE COLD FRONT THAT PROMPTED LAST NIGHTS SEVERE WEATHER HAS PUSHED
SE OF THE AREA. ALOFT, THE BASE OF THE PARENT TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY SWING THROUGH THE TN VALLEY THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
BEHIND THE FRONT, NW FLOW IS PREVAILING BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND
ALOFT, ALLOWING FOR SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR ADVECTION. TEMPERATURES
CURRENTLY SIT IN THE LOW TO MID 30S. LIGHT LIFT FROM THE PARENT
TROUGH PAIRED WITH THE COLD AIR WILL SUPPORT SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
THE DAY. RECENT TRENDS IN 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTED SLIGHTLY
HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS THAT PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, WITH HIGHEST
AMOUNTS NEAR AN INCH IN NE AL AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN IN TERRAIN
AREAS. WITH THE RECENT MODEL TRENDS AND CURRENT OBSERVATIONS OF
MODERATE SNOWFALL, A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 THROUGH 7 PM TONIGHT. WHILE
LOCATIONS WEST OF I-65 WILL LIKELY SEE SNOW SHOWERS, RADAR RETURNS
ARE ALREADY PUSHING EAST OUT OF THE AREA, DECREASING THE POTENTIAL
FOR ANY ACCUMULATIONS. WITHOUT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT CURRENTLY
FORECAST, NW AL IS NOT CURRENTLY INCLUDED IN THE ADVISORY. WARM
GROUND TEMPS SHOULD MITIGATE ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ROADWAYS WITH
ACCUMULATION'S MOST LIKELY ON GRASSY SURFACES.
A WIND ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 4 PM AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT. GUSTS OF 30-35 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE. HREF MODELS SHOW PRECIP MOVING EAST AROUND SUNSET WITH
DRY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TO OUR
SW WILL AID IN CLEARLY SKIES THROUGH THE NIGHT, ALLOWING TEMPS TO
DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S. AS SUCH, A FREEZE WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE WHOLE ARE TONIGHT, MAKE SURE TO PROTECT TENTATIVE
VEGETATION.
SHORT TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1026 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TO OUR SW AND SLOWLY
TRANSITION EAST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. THIS WILL SUPPORT
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND ALONG WITH CLEAR SKIES AND NO RAIN
CHANCES. WITH FLOW STILL FROM THE NW THROUGH WEDNESDAY, TEMPS WILL
ONLY RISE FROM THE 40S ON TUESDAY TO THE 50S BY WEDNESDAY. WITH
LOWS AGAIN BELOW 30 FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, A FREEZE
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WHOLE AREA. THURSDAY WILL
PROVIDE SOME MUCH NEEDED RELIEF AS THE SURFACE HIGH PUSHES TO OUR
EAST, INDUCING SW SURFACE FLOW. THIS WILL SUPPORT MILD WWA AND
ALLOW FOR TEMPS TO FINALLY CLIMB BACK INTO THE 60S AND PERHAPS LOW
70S IN OUR URBAN AREAS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 544 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL PATTERN (RIDGING WEST AND TROUGHING EAST)
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS WE GO INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
THE EASTERN TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN LOWER-48 HOWEVER SHOULD MOVE
SOMEWHAT MORE TO THE EAST. HIGHER HEIGHTS AND A THE UPPER FLOW
GOING FROM NW-SE TO WNW- ESE WILL HELP WITH A WARMUP AS WE GO INTO
THE NEXT WEEKEND.
ONE MORE CHILLY PERIOD WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS FROM THE LOW/MID
30S EAST TO LOWER 40S WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY SHOULD BE MILDER,
RISING INTO THE MID 60S EAST TO LOWER 70S WEST. THE WARMING TREND
WILL CONTINUE, WITH LOWS THU NIGHT IN THE 40S. HIGHS TO CLOSE OUT
THE WORK WEEK SHOULD RISE BACK INTO 70S FRIDAY. THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND LOOKS LIKE A RETURN SPRING-LIKE WARMTH, WITH HIGHS BOTH
SAT/SUN AROUND 80, AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S. DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD. AND SPEAKING OF THE SPRING
SEASON, IT OFFICIALLY BEGINS AROUND 946 AM CDT FRI MORNING.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 641 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT SWEPT TO THE EAST ACROSS THE AREA LAST
NIGHT WAS POSITIONED WELL EAST OF THE TN VALLEY. A STRONG NW
FLOW PUSHING IN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS TODAY, WITH WNW WINDS OF 15-25KT AND GUSTS TO 40KT.
WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING. LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING
ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON COULD
PRODUCE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW, BECOMING ALL SNOW AS EVEN COLDER
AIR ARRIVES. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS CANNOT BE RULE OUT ON ELEVATED
SURFACES. A STEADY WIND WILL HELP TO EVAPORATE ANY PRECIP THAT
FALLS. MVFR CIGS THIS MORNING SHOULD BECOME VFR IN THE AFTERNOON.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALZ001>010-016.
FREEZE WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
ALZ001>010-016.
FREEZE WARNING FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR
ALZ001>010-016.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
ALZ004>010-016.
TN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR TNZ076-096-097.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TNZ076-
096-097.
NEAR TERM...RAD
SHORT TERM....RAD
LONG TERM....RSB
AVIATION...RSB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page