213
FXUS64 KHUN 091037
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
537 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 843 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
- NO IMPACTFUL WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 332 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AS DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST
THROUGH TODAY AS A RESULT OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE. HIGH TEMPERATURES
REMAIN ON TRACK TO REACH THE LOW TO UPPER 70S (WITH THE UPPER 70S
BEING PRIMARILY LIMITED TO NW AL). INCREASED CONCERN FOR FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS EXIST DUE TO DRY FUELS AS WELL AS RH VALUES. WE
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY, HOWEVER, THEY
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION: HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN THE
MAIN INFLUENCER OF THE LOCAL WEATHER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MOSTLY HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING OVERHEAD FROM
WEST TO EAST AND THESE SHOULD LINGER THROUGH THE NIGHT. THIS WILL
SLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY DROPPING
DOWN INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S, WHICH IS A FEW DEGREES
WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT.
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY IS IN STORE FOR THURSDAY WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS ONCE AGAIN RISING INTO THE MID 70S. COMPARED TO THE LAST
FEW AFTERNOONS IT WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS WINDY AS THE WINDS ALOFT
ARE NOT AS STRONG. HOWEVER, DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO MIX OUT AND
DROP DOWN INTO THE LOWER 30S BY THE AFTERNOON. THIS RESULTS IN RH
VALUES DIPPING INTO THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE. WHILE WINDS WILL NOT
REACH ANY CRITICAL FIRE WX CRITERIA, CONDITIONS WILL CERTAINLY BE
DRY ENOUGH TO CAUSE SOME ISSUES IF A FIRE WERE TO IGNITE.
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 843 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, THE
NW FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE ZONAL. A WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGE
AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BRINGING A GRADUAL WARMING TREND TO
OUR LOCAL TEMPERATURES. EXPECT AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S AND THEN THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. SOUTHERLY
SFC FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT IN A MORE MOISTURE RICH AIRMASS
OFF THE GULF BRINGING DEWPOINTS BACK INTO THE 50S BY SATURDAY.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 843 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
BY THE WEEKEND WE WILL BE SOLIDLY WITHIN A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN ALOFT
MAINTAINING OUR BENIGN YET WARM FORECAST. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR EAST WILL INDUCE SOUTHERLY FLOW PROMPTING A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF MOISTURE AND WAA. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID
80S AND DEW POINTS IN THE 50S THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE LONG TERM
PERIOD.
AT THE START OF THE WORK WEEK, ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL GIVE WAY TO A
RIDGING EAST/TROUGHING WEST PATTERN AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPS IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK
WEEK THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT WILL DRIFT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WINDS AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL VEER TO THE SE SUPPORTING ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
ADVECTION FROM THE GULF, RAISING OUR DEW POINTS TO THE HIGH 50S TO
LOW 60S. CLOUD COVER WILL ALSO INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. MODELS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THE FRONT AS IT APPROACHES THE TN
VALLEY AND SUBSEQUENTLY HAVE SLOWED DOWN THE ARRIVAL OF ANY PRECIP.
THE LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE PUSHED THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES FROM
TUESDAY AFTERNOON NOW TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS MODELS STRUGGLE TO
RESOLVE WHEN AND IF THE FRONT WILL ACTUALLY MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA.
SMALL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE RAIN CHANCES AND BEST TIME FRAME FOR RAIN
ARE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS THE SYSTEM DRAWS NEAR HOWEVER MODELS
HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN KEEPING RAIN CHANCES NEAR 30%. THUS,
THIS LIKELY WILL NOT BE THE EVENT THAT PROVIDES AID TO OUR ONGOING
DRY CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 537 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...HC
SHORT TERM....GH
LONG TERM....RAD
AVIATION...HC
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