054
FXUS64 KHUN 092253
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
553 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 843 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
- NO IMPACTFUL WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
NEAR TERM
(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 147 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
A VERY WARM, DRY, AND SUNNY DAY ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY HAS
WARMED TEMPERATURES INTO LOWER 70S (WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES
BETWEEN 25-35%) AS OF 19Z. WHILE WINDS HAVE WEAKENED AND WILL NOT
REACH ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA, FUELS WILL CERTAINLY BE
DRY ENOUGH TO CAUSE SOME ISSUES IF A FIRE WERE TO IGNITE AND
CAUTION CONTINUES TO BE URGED WITH RESPECT TO ANY OUTDOOR BURNING.
OTHERWISE, IT WILL BE A GOOD NIGHT FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING DUE TO
THE CLEAR SKY IN THIS DRY AIR MASS AS LOW TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN
FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 832 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL BUILD INTO THE DEEP SOUTH LATE THIS
WEEK, PROMOTING WARM/DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A
RESULT, TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOW TO MID
80S EACH AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY ADVECT MORE
GULF MOISTURE BACK INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENCED BY DEWPOINTS
RISING INTO THE 40S AND 50S. THUS, IT WILL BEGIN TO FEEL A LITTLE
MORE HUMID BY THE WEEKEND.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 843 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
BY THE WEEKEND WE WILL BE SOLIDLY WITHIN A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN ALOFT
MAINTAINING OUR BENIGN YET WARM FORECAST. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR EAST WILL INDUCE SOUTHERLY FLOW PROMPTING A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF MOISTURE AND WAA. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID
80S AND DEW POINTS IN THE 50S THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE LONG TERM
PERIOD.
AT THE START OF THE WORK WEEK, ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL GIVE WAY TO A
RIDGING EAST/TROUGHING WEST PATTERN AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPS IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK
WEEK THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT WILL DRIFT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WINDS AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL VEER TO THE SE SUPPORTING ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
ADVECTION FROM THE GULF, RAISING OUR DEW POINTS TO THE HIGH 50S TO
LOW 60S. CLOUD COVER WILL ALSO INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. MODELS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THE FRONT AS IT APPROACHES THE TN
VALLEY AND SUBSEQUENTLY HAVE SLOWED DOWN THE ARRIVAL OF ANY PRECIP.
THE LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE PUSHED THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES FROM
TUESDAY AFTERNOON NOW TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS MODELS STRUGGLE TO
RESOLVE WHEN AND IF THE FRONT WILL ACTUALLY MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA.
SMALL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE RAIN CHANCES AND BEST TIME FRAME FOR RAIN
ARE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS THE SYSTEM DRAWS NEAR HOWEVER MODELS
HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN KEEPING RAIN CHANCES NEAR 30%. THUS,
THIS LIKELY WILL NOT BE THE EVENT THAT PROVIDES AID TO OUR ONGOING
DRY CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 553 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...AMP
SHORT TERM....AMP
LONG TERM....RAD
AVIATION...GH
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page