704
FXUS64 KHUN 140714
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
214 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 944 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DAYTIME HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 90S
EACH DAY.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 214 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON HAS LEFT US
SOLIDLY IN NORTHWEST FLOW IN ITS WAKE. AS SUCH, COOLER AND DRIER
AIR IS FILTERING INTO THE TN VALLEY. DEW POINTS HAVE ALREADY
DROPPED TO THE MID TO LOW 40S, WITH TEMPS LAGGING BEHIND SLIGHTLY
BUT EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE HIGH 40S TO LOW 50S BY SUNRISE.
THROUGH THE DAY, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE MIDWEST
REINFORCING NORTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE. THE NNW WINDS AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH CAA TO KEEP TEMPS SEVERAL
DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY WITH HIGHS RESTRAINED TO THE LOW TO
MID 70S.
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 944 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
A GOOD SETUP FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING THURSDAY NIGHT AS WINDS
DECOUPLE IN A CLEAR SKY AND DRY AIR MASS. AS A RESULT, LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. THIS SHOULD BE THE LAST OF THE "SPRINGTIME" TEMPERATURES
AS AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL BUILD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN A PRONOUNCED WARMING TREND
AS WINDS VEER TO THE SOUTH, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS BOTH
DAYS. AS A RESULT, HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE LOWER 80S ON FRIDAY
AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S BY SATURDAY.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 944 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
A SOMEWHAT DIFFERENT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE AS CLOSE
OUT THE WEEK; WITH A FORECAST OF TROUGHING ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH
AMERICAN DOMAIN, WITH A ZONAL TO A SLIGHT RIDGING SETUP EAST. THIS
TROUGH WEST, RIDGING EAST CONFIGURATION SHOULD BECOME MORE FIRMLY
ESTABLISHED AS WE GO INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. WITH TROUGHING
WHICH HAD GENERALLY PERSISTED OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE
CONTINENT GONE, WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS WE GO INTO THE
SECOND HALF OF THE MONTH.
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINING WELL TO OUR NW SHOULD RESULT IN DRY
WEATHER FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK. WITH MORE SUN THAN CLOUDS, A
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND HIGHER HEIGHTS, SHOULD ALLOW FOR WARMER DAILY HIGH
AND LOW TEMPERATURES. IT SHOULD NOT BE AS COOL SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH
LOW TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S EAST TO LOWER 60S WEST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY SHOULD RISE INTO THE LOW/MID 80S, A BIT
WARMER THAN NORMAL HIGHS OF AROUND 83 DEGREES. A BIT MILDER SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE LOW/MID 60S. ALSO SOMEWHAT WARMER
MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
THE ABOVE NOTED FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD SAG CLOSER TO THE AREA AS WE
GO INTO TUESDAY, BRINGING MAINLY LOWER END SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES. BEFORE SHOWERS COMMENCE, EXPECT ANOTHER WARM DAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. DEEPER MOISTURE ARRIVING FROM THE GULF REGION,
AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY BEING EVEN CLOSER SHOULD BRING HIGHER RAIN
CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY. WITH MORE CLOUDS AND HIGHER RAIN CHANCES, HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A TAD COOLER, MAINLY IN THE LOWER 80S. LOW
TEMPERATURES MON/TUE NIGHT SHOULD RANGE IN THE LOWER 60S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE TAF
PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...RAD
SHORT TERM....AMP
LONG TERM....AMP
AVIATION...RAD
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page