210
FXUS64 KHUN 241633
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1133 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 843 AM CDT SAT MAY 23 2026
- A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
- LOW RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING DURING THIS
PERIOD.
- GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE OTHER HAZARDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 843 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
AN MCV WAS LIFTING NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHWEST AL THIS MORNING.
NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER, A PERSISTENT BAND OF DEEP LAYER
CONVERGENCE WAS GENERATING SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS FROM
SOUTHEAST MS INTO NORTH AL. THE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY HAS BEEN
LIMITED THUS FAR, BUT WITH DAYTIME HEATING, THIS WILL TEND TO PICK
UP. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR IN THIS PERSISTENT BAND AS
IT LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AL. THERE MAY BE
A BREAK IN THE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AS THIS BAND SHIFTS FURTHER
EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE MCV DEPARTS. THEN, ADDED HEATING
SHOULD GENERATE ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. CAMS SHOW A RELATIVE MINIMAL AFTER DAYTIME HEATING
CEASES THIS EVENING, SO POPS BECOME LOWER OVERNIGHT. AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S FOLLOWED BY LOWS IN
THE 60S TONIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 843 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
DEEP LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST AND
TN VALLEY ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY BETWEEN A WEAK 5H LOW OVER THE
ARKLATEX REGION AND A BERMUDA HIGH. THE WESTERN LOW LIFTS NORTH-
NORTHWEST AS A TROUGH DIGS INTO THE ROCKIES. SOUTHERLY FLOW
INCREASES TO 20-25KT IN THE 8-5H LAYER WITH GENERAL CONFLUENT FLOW
PERSISTING IN A HIGH PW/THETA-E AIRMASS. THUS, A CONTINUED RISK
OF LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE SIMILAR BOTH DAYS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1059 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2026
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK,
WITH DAILY CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE CIRCULATION
ROUNDING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OFF OF THE EAST COAST WILL CONTINUE
BRINGING DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE GULF REGION WELL INLAND. RAIN
CHANCES HOWEVER WILL BEGIN TO TAKE ON A MORE DIURNAL TREND AS WE
GO INTO THE LATTER PORTION OF THE WEEK, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD
RANGE IN THE LOW/MID 80S AND LOWS IN THE MID 60S. A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY FROM THE
NORTH. DEPENDING UPON FAR SOUTH IT MOVES, RAIN CHANCES NEXT WEEK
MAY INDEED BECOME LOWER.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
BANDS OF +SHRA WITH EMBEDDED +TSRA WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND EAST OF
THE I-65 CORRIDOR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PRIMARILY
AFFECT AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF KHSV WITH A LOWER CHANCE AT KMSL OF
ADDITIONAL SHRA OR TSRA. CEILINGS WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW 030AGL
AT KHSV (MVFR AND SPOTTY IFR) THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. AT
KMSL, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 04Z BEFORE LOWER CLOUDS
REDEVELOP AND LOWER FROM MVFR TO IFR. SHRA ACTIVITY TONIGHT WILL
BE MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED IN COVERAGE. BY 11Z, MOST AREAS WILL
HAVE CEILINGS BELOW 010AGL IFR.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALZ006>010-016.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...17
SHORT TERM....17
LONG TERM....RSB
AVIATION...17
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page