692
FXUS64 KHUN 070202
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
902 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 902 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEK.
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS PERSIST WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S
EACH AFTERNOON.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 902 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING, THE FEW SHOWERS THAT LINGER WILL
CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS WE HEAD INTO THE NIGHT. TRANQUIL
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST OVERNIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING MILD
WITH LOWS ONLY DROPPING DOWN INTO THE LOWER 70S. GIVEN THE HUMID
AIRMASS AND MOIST GROUND FROM EARLIER RAINFALL, PATCHY DENSE FOG
MAY DEVELOP EARLY TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE SUNRISE. FOG SHOULD
REMAIN CONTAINED TO ALONG THE AREA RIVERS, BUT THIS WILL BE
MONITORED THROUGH THE NIGHT TO SEE IF ANY ADVISORIES ARE NEEDED.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW SPINNING ACROSS ARKANSAS THIS
EVENING AND IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD ON TUESDAY. ONCE
AGAIN, MEDIUM CHANCES (40-60%) OF DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. MODEL SOUNDINGS HAVE 1000-1500 J/KG OF CAPE,
BUT NO SHEAR. COLUMN IS QUITE SATURATED WITH PWATS BETWEEN 1.8-2
INCHES. THEREFORE, SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED, BUT LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE MAIN HAZARDS WITH ANY STORMS.
MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ON TUESDAY WILL HELP RAISE AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SHORT TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 902 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL SIT UNDERNEATH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AS
THE UPPER LOW MEANDERS EASTWARD THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. AS
A RESULT, THE LOCAL WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS UNCHANGED WITH LOW TO
MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES REMAIN SEASONAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. LOW CHANCES FOR PATCHY FOG WILL CONTINUE EACH
MORNING, ESPECIALLY ALONG AREA RIVERS AND IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE
RAIN DURING THE DAY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 902 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
THE UPPER LOW FINALLY GETS PUSHED OFF TO THE EAST ON FRIDAY AS A
MORE ZONAL FLOW TAKES SHAPE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL LIMIT
THE COVERAGE IN SHOWERS AND STORMS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAK
COLD FRONT BEGINS TO DROP SOUTHWARD THIS WEEKEND. WHILE THIS WILL
NOT PROVIDE MUCH RELIEF TO THE WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS, IT WILL
PROVIDE A MORE FAVORABLE AREA FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP.
THEREFORE, MEDIUM (40-70%) CHANCES OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE FORECAST BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DIGS DOWN ALONG THE EAST COAST ON MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING
NORTHERLY FLOW TO THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA. AS A RESULT, ONLY LOW
CHANCES FOR PRECIP IS FORECAST ON MONDAY. THROUGHOUT THE LONG
TERM PERIOD, AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER 80S
TO LOWER 90S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 600 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
THIS EVENING, EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS TO IMPACT THE
TERMINALS. GIVEN THE LOW COVERAGE HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH A TEMPO
GROUP FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND
BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS
RETURN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW. INCLUDED A PROB 30
GROUP FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN
EXPECTED BUT CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND LOCATION IS UNCERTAIN.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...GH
SHORT TERM....GH
LONG TERM....GH
AVIATION...GH
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