419
FXUS64 KHUN 110711
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
211 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1007 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
- MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS CONTINUES TO
MOVE NORTHEAST.
- DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 211 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
2 AM SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE REMNANT LOW OF POST TROPICAL
CYCLONE ISAIAS MOVING THROUGH NE ALABAMA. COUNTERCLOCKWISE WINDS
CAN BE SEEN AROUND THE REMNANT LOW ACROSS THE TN VALLEY ALONG WITH
LINGERING LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT RAIN. THROUGH THE THE FIRST HALF
OF THE DAY WE WILL REMAIN PLAGUED WITH LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT RAIN
AS THE LOW SLOWLY PUSHES NE. AS WE MOVE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS
CLEARING WILL OCCUR FROM WEST TO EAST AS WE BOTH LOSE PROXIMITY TO
THE LOW AND DRY AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM. DESPITE BEING
DISPLACED FROM THE ACTUAL LOW, THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
KEEP WINDS SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. BY EVENING,
SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR AND MUCH DRIER AIR IN PLACE. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE, SETTING US UP FOR A CLEAR AND CALM NIGHT,
WHICH WILL PUT US ON HIGH ALERT FOR FOG FORMATION.
SHORT TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1007 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT OR CALM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE BY
TOMORROW NIGHT. THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD FOG
DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS FOG COULD BE
DENSE AND A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED DURING THAT PERIOD.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S ARE EXPECTED.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA MONDAY INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK. THIS AND SUNNY SKIES SHOULD PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ON MONDAY.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1007 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
THE UPPER RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE SOUTHEAST
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE SUNNY SKIES AND BUILDING UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL MAKE FOR A VERY WARM CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS
CLIMBING BACK INTO THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED LONGWAVE TROUGH AXIS MAKES SOME
SLIGHT PROGRESS PUSHING EAST INTO THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK/WEEKEND. HOWEVER, OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA THE SURFACE AND UPPER RIDGE REMAIN STOUT. HOWEVER, ENOUGH
FORCING ALOFT AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE DOES SETUP OVER MUCH OF
TENNESSEE TO PRODUCE SOME PRECIPITATION OVER THAT AREA. OUR
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES COULD SEE SOME LOW END
PRECIPITATION CHANCES, BUT CONSISTENCY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE AT
THIS TIME. MOST GUIDANCE DOES PUSH A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING COOLER WEATHER TO TO
THE AREA THAT IS MORE SEASONABLE INTO THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1149 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
LOW CEILINGS AND LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA FOR
MOST OF THE NIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING. AS SUCH, MVFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR TO POTENTIALLY LIFR AS
LOWER CLOUDS FILTER THROUGH. AMENDMENTS WILL BE MADE AS NECESSARY.
CONDITIONS LOOK TO BEGIN CLEARING AFTER 18Z WITH CLEAR SKIES
BUILDING IN FOR THE AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF
PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...RAD
SHORT TERM....KTW
LONG TERM....KTW
AVIATION...RAD
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