339
FXUS64 KHUN 171036
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
536 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 312 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
- COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN OVER THE WEEKEND IN THE WAKE
OF A COLD FRONT.
- NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10-15 MPH (WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-30 MPH) WILL
LAST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
- PATCHY FROST MAY OCCUR EARLY SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS IN A
FEW WIND-SHELTERED LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN TN AND NORTHEAST
AL.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
AFTER SOME TEMPORARY CLEARING, SOME MID-LEVEL STRATUS DECKS ARE
BEGINNING TO DRIFT BACK SOUTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH. THESE BROKEN DECKS OF CLOUDS WILL CREATE
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS AGAIN THIS MORNING, BEFORE
SCATTERING OUT IN THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN WEATHER IMPACT TODAY
WILL BE THE CONTINUED GUSTY N/NNE WINDS THAT WILL GUST TO BETWEEN
10-20 MPH TODAY. THESE WINDS WILL REINFORCE THIS COOL/DRY AUTUMN
AIR MASS. THUS, DESPITE SOME SUNSHINE IT WILL FEEL QUITE COOL THIS
AFTERNOON, WITH HIGHS ONLY PEAKING IN THE LOW TO MID 60S IN MOST
LOCATIONS.
SHORT TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1011 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND OVER THE EASTERN CONUS TOWARD THE LATER
HALF OF THE WEEKEND AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST OFF THE ATLANTIC
COAST AND UPPER RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE MIDWEST AND INTO
THE SOUTHEAST. LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS IN
PLACE WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. ONE THING
WE WILL BE MONITORING IS THE POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FROST IN
SHELTERED AND HIGH ELEVATIONS BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS AS
TEMPS DIP DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TN
AND NORTHEAST AL. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE VERY NICE THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD, TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S EACH
DAY.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1011 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
OVERALL, IT LOOKS LIKE THE FALL-LIKE WEATHER WILL LARGELY CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY. A STOUT UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS
AND INTO THE SOUTH THIS NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH PERSISTS OVER
THE EASTERN SEABOARD. BY THURSDAY/FRIDAY, THE UPPER RIDGE STARTS TO
PUSH EASTWARD AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SWINGS OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE COUNTRY. MEANWHILE, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO
REMAIN ENTRENCHED OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND DOWN INTO THE DEEP SOUTH
THROUGH THE WEEK. OVERALL, LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL WILL BE THE THEME
THROUGH THIS NEXT WORK WEEK. HIGHS WARM INTO THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE
WEEK BEFORE INCREASING INTO THE LOWER 80 DEGREES FOR SOME LOCATIONS
BY LATE WEEK AS THE AXIS OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER RIDGE MOVES OVER
THE THE REGION. LOWS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE 40S FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH, SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE LOWS AROUND 50 DEGREES BY
THURSDAY NIGHT. ULTIMATELY, IT MIGHT BE A GOOD IDEA TO GRAB AT LEAST
A LIGHT JACKET WHEN HEADING OUT THE DOOR THIS WEEK!
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 536 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
BKN DECKS OF MVFR STRATUS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE REGION
THIS MORNING, BEFORE SCATTERING OUT IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH VFR
CONDITIONS THE PREDOMINANT FLIGHT CATEGORY. GUSTY NORTH TO NORTH-
NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN 15-25 KTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY AT
BOTH TERMINALS BEFORE WEAKENING TO 5 KTS OR LESS AFTER SUNSET.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...AMP
SHORT TERM....25
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...AMP.24
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