885
FXUS63 KICT 251944
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
144 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES THU-FRI.
- A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING A BRIEF WINTRY MIX TO THE
AREA LATE SATURDAY.
- PROBABILITIES FOR LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION(20-30%) MAY
RETURN LATE SUN INTO MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 134 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR A COLD NIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 20S IN
CENTRAL KS TO THE LOW 30S IN EASTERN KS.
WED-THU...MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS
WE REMAIN IN A NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME. WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE NOSING
INTO THE AREA, WE EXPECT LIGHT WINDS AND A MIX OF SUN AND HIGH
CLOUDS LEADING TO TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS.
FRIDAY-SATURDAY...AS WE MOVE INTO FRIDAY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
PROGGED TO BUILD INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WHICH WILL BREAK DOWN THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO INCREASE WITH
BREEZY SOUTHERLY FLOW AND ANOTHER MILD DAY ANTICIPATED. AS WE MOVE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ON FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY, LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AHEAD OF AN INCOMING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. WE WILL SEE INCREASING PROBABILITIES (30-60 PERCENT) FOR
SHOWERS AND WE MOVE INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS WITH STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE
RATES AND LOW LVL MOISTURE TRANSPORT TAKING AIM ON SOUTHERN KANSAS.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY EVENING AND WE COULD SEE A BRIEF TRANSITION
FROM RAIN TO SNOW JUST BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END. WITH
A WARM GROUND AND SUCH A BRIEF WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR WINTRY
PRECIPITATION, THE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MINIMAL AT THIS
TIME.
SUNDAY-TUESDAY...MUCH COLDER AIR IS ANTICIPATED SUN-MON WITH HIGHS
REMAINING BELOW FREEZING FOR MANY AREAS. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH
COULD IMPACT THE REGION LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY BRINGING A ROUND OF
LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS
REMAINS FAIRLY LOW AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES MAY BEGIN TO MODERATE
A BIT ON TUESDAY WHILE REMAINING BELOW AVERAGE FOR EARLY DEC.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
IFR/MVFR CLOUDS IN SOUTHEAST KS IMPACTING KCNU WILL QUICKLY MIX
OUT AS A COLD FRONT USHERS IN DRIER AIR. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING
TO 40-45 MPH AT TIMES WILL IMPACT CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KS
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. VFR AND LIGHT
WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT AND WED.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM
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