418
FXUS63 KICT 270928
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
328 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND COOL THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST
OF I- 135. PRECIPITATION CHANCES EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS.
- LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 324 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOW LONGWAVE
TROUGHING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS, AND THE REGION'S
NEXT SYSTEM COMING ON SHORE ACROSS THE PNW. THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL
STAY UNDERNEATH A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW REGIME TODAY AND FRIDAY WHICH
WILL SUPPORT KEEPING A SOMEWHAT COOLER AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE
PNW WILL DIVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
LATE FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY. IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED UPPER
FLOW OVER THE ROCKIES, SURFACE PRESSURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS ON FRIDAY LEADING TO A TIGHTENED PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS KANSAS. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON, AND SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 TO
35 MPH AT TIMES. AS BROAD ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE REGION FROM
HEIGHT FALLS ALOFT AND INCREASING MID-LEVEL WAA. WIDESPREAD
RAIN IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AND SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE FORECAST MAINTAINS THE
POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF WINDOW OF A TRANSITION TO WET SNOW BEFORE
PRECIPITATION ENDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THOSE WHO
SEE THIS BRIEF WINDOW OF WET SNOW WILL DEPEND ON THE TIMING OF
MUCH COLDER AIR FORECAST TO PLUNGE INTO THE CENTRAL KANSAS LATE
ON SATURDAY. REGARDLESS, LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
GIVEN THE BRIEF WINDOW OF WINTRY PRECIP ALONG WITH WARM
GROUNDS. IN ADDITION TO PRECIPITATION ON SATURDAY, GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST BEHIND THE POWERFUL COLD FRONT.
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA COULD SEE WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 TO
45 MPH AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
AFTER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, EYES WILL BE LOOKING WESTWARD AGAIN AS
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO DIVE FROM THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL
LIKELY PROVIDE ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR ALONG WITH THE
OUTSIDE POTENTIAL OF A ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION. CHANCES FOR
SNOW REMAIN QUITE LOW (AROUND 10 TO 20%) AS THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM
COULD END UP BEING JUST A BIT TOO FAR SOUTH FOR PRECIPITATION TO
OCCUR. TRENDS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR SUNDAY/MONDAY'S SYSTEM.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025
A BATCH OF SPRINKLES CONTINUES TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. OVERALL THIS VERY LIGHT
PRECIPITATION / MID LEVEL CLOUDS WON'T CAUSE TOO MANY ISSUES BUT
AIRCRAFT ICING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD BUT
VEER WITH TIME AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST OF THE
REGION WITH NORTHERLY WINDS BY THURSDAY EVENING.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...WI
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