747
FXUS63 KICT 271734
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1134 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND COOL THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST
OF I- 135. PRECIPITATION CHANCES EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS.
- LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 324 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOW LONGWAVE
TROUGHING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS, AND THE REGION'S
NEXT SYSTEM COMING ON SHORE ACROSS THE PNW. THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL
STAY UNDERNEATH A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW REGIME TODAY AND FRIDAY WHICH
WILL SUPPORT KEEPING A SOMEWHAT COOLER AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE
PNW WILL DIVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
LATE FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY. IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED UPPER
FLOW OVER THE ROCKIES, SURFACE PRESSURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS ON FRIDAY LEADING TO A TIGHTENED PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS KANSAS. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON, AND SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 TO
35 MPH AT TIMES. AS BROAD ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE REGION FROM
HEIGHT FALLS ALOFT AND INCREASING MID-LEVEL WAA. WIDESPREAD
RAIN IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AND SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE FORECAST MAINTAINS THE
POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF WINDOW OF A TRANSITION TO WET SNOW BEFORE
PRECIPITATION ENDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THOSE WHO
SEE THIS BRIEF WINDOW OF WET SNOW WILL DEPEND ON THE TIMING OF
MUCH COLDER AIR FORECAST TO PLUNGE INTO THE CENTRAL KANSAS LATE
ON SATURDAY. REGARDLESS, LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
GIVEN THE BRIEF WINDOW OF WINTRY PRECIP ALONG WITH WARM
GROUNDS. IN ADDITION TO PRECIPITATION ON SATURDAY, GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST BEHIND THE POWERFUL COLD FRONT.
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA COULD SEE WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 TO
45 MPH AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
AFTER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, EYES WILL BE LOOKING WESTWARD AGAIN AS
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO DIVE FROM THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL
LIKELY PROVIDE ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR ALONG WITH THE
OUTSIDE POTENTIAL OF A ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION. CHANCES FOR
SNOW REMAIN QUITE LOW (AROUND 10 TO 20%) AS THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM
COULD END UP BEING JUST A BIT TOO FAR SOUTH FOR PRECIPITATION TO
OCCUR. TRENDS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR SUNDAY/MONDAY'S SYSTEM.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1126 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025
AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY SLIDE EAST TONIGHT INTO FRI AS
AN UPPER WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL ALLOW
LIGHT WINDS TO COME AROUND TO THE NORTH AND EVENTUALLY EAST
LATER TONIGHT. BY LATE FRI MORNING, WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND WILL BE ON THE INCREASE, WITH GUSTS AROUND 20KTS
LIKELY. HIGH AND MID CLOUDS WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRI, BUT VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN
THROUGH 18Z FRI.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...RBL
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