926
FNUS52 KILM 192053
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
353 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2025
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS EVENING, WHILE ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND IT BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. THIS BRINGS VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING ON HAVING WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
NCZ105>110-201300-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
353 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SNOW
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 40 16 37
MAX/MIN RH (%) 90 34 58 31
WIND20FT/EARLY (MPH) W 8 G19 NW 6 N 4 N 6
WIND20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 7 G19 NW 6 N 5 N 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1700 30/0600 1800 NONE
DISPERSION GOOD FAIR
DSI 2 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 4700 2600
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 15 N 14
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 70500 36400
ADI EARLY 19 GEN POOR 63 GOOD 7 POOR 30 FAIR
ADI LATE 15 GEN POOR 59 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 2 2
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 2 2
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY E C F C
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN,
FREEZING RAIN, SNOW AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NCZ087-096-099-201300-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
353 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SNOW
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 40 17 36
MAX/MIN RH (%) 83 27 51 26
WIND20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 8 G17 NW 5 LGT/VAR NE 5
WIND20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 5 NW 5 NE 4 N 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1700 30/0600 1800 NONE
DISPERSION FAIR POOR
DSI 2 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 4600 3000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 14 N 14
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 64400 42000
ADI EARLY 15 GEN POOR 62 GOOD 7 POOR 37 FAIR
ADI LATE 10 POOR 58 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 2 2 2
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 2 2
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY E C F C
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. MAXIMUM RH
74 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN, SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM
RH 89 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ054>056-058-059-201300-
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-
NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR
353 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SNOW
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 40 19 36
MAX/MIN RH (%) 80 35 60 32
WIND20FT/EARLY (MPH) W 8 G19 N 5 LGT/VAR NE 6
WIND20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 6 G18 N 5 NE 5 N 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1700 30/0600 1800 NONE
DISPERSION FAIR POOR
DSI 2 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 4700 2700
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 14 N 14
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 65800 37800
ADI EARLY 15 GEN POOR 57 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 30 FAIR
ADI LATE 11 POOR 54 GEN GOOD 9 POOR 30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 2 2
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 2 2
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY E C F D
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-201300-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
353 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SNOW
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 40 18 36
MAX/MIN RH (%) 79 28 56 25
WIND20FT/EARLY (MPH) W 8 G17 NW 5 LGT/VAR NE 5
WIND20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 5 N 5 NE 4 NE 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1700 29/0600 1800 19/0600
DISPERSION FAIR POOR
DSI 2 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 4600 3100
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 13 N 14
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 59800 43400
ADI EARLY 15 GEN POOR 54 GEN GOOD 6 VERY POOR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 10 POOR 52 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 2 2
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 2 2
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY E C F C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM
RH 91 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECASTER...BOATMAN
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