028  
FNUS52 KILM 202058  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
358 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY AND MUCH COLDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND, AS  
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. A WARMING TREND  
WILL THEN KICK OFF EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH PREDOMINANTLY DRY WEATHER.  
AN APPROACHING SYSTEM COULD INCREASE RAIN CHANCES INTO THE MIDDLE  
OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
 
NCZ105>110-211300-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
358 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 43 19 50  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 80 41 94 37  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 7 G22 N 8 G18 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 8 G21 NW 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 NONE 1800 33/0900  
DISPERSION GOOD VERY POOR  
DSI 1 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3500 3700  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 14 SW 8  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 49000 29600  
ADI EARLY 19 GEN POOR 57 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 21 FAIR  
ADI LATE 15 GEN POOR 62 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 32 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 2 4 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 2 1 5 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY E B F B  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
84 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
92 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NCZ087-096-099-211300-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
358 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 43 21 51  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 81 39 92 37  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 6 G18 N 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 6 NW 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 NONE 1800 32/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3500 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 13 SW 9  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 45500 36000  
ADI EARLY 10 POOR 55 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 22 FAIR  
ADI LATE 10 POOR 57 GEN GOOD 5 VERY POOR 42 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 2 5 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 5 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F A  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM  
RH 92 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-211300-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,  
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
358 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 21 44 22 52  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 91 36 87 37  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 6 G21 N 7 G17 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) N 6 G20 N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 NONE 1800 33/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR VERY POOR  
DSI 1 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3800 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 13 S 9  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 49400 36000  
ADI EARLY 11 POOR 63 GOOD 4 VERY POOR 26 FAIR  
ADI LATE 11 POOR 62 GOOD 4 VERY POOR 40 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 1 3 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 4 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM  
RH 94 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM  
RH 94 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-211300-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
358 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 44 22 53  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 88 33 89 33  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 5 G17 N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) N 5 N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 NONE 1800 33/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3800 4700  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 12 SW 10  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 45600 47000  
ADI EARLY 11 POOR 60 GEN GOOD 3 VERY POOR 25 FAIR  
ADI LATE 10 POOR 60 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 1 4 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 5 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...BOATMAN  
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