564
FXUS62 KILM 020740
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
340 AM EDT WED APR 2 2025
SYNOPSIS
ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE. THE
LINGERING FRONT TO THE SOUTH WILL LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT TONIGHT WITH MUCH ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH ARRIVING FOR
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE NEXT MEANINGFUL CHANCE OF RAIN
WILL BE LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY ACCOMPANYING ANOTHER COLD FRONT.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING ONSHORE FLOW TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE RESULT
WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND IT ISN'T IMPOSSIBLE
THAT THERE COULD BE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND. HIGHS TODAY WILL
REACH MID TO UPPER 70S WITH COOLER NUMBERS NEARER THE OCEAN.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 60S.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OFF
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN ATLANTIC COAST WILL SERVE AS THE CATALYST
FOR A HUMID, LATE-WEEK WARMUP. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL, MANY AREAS WILL LIKELY CLIMB INTO THE MID 80S. A
SEA BREEZE NEAR THE COAST WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
70S TO NEAR 80 ALONG THE COAST. BREEZY BEHIND A STRONG AFTERNOON
SEA BREEZE. SOUTHERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL KEEP DEW POINTS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
WARMER ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS. INLAND
AREAS HAVE A SHOT AT SEEING THEIR FIRST 90 DEGREE HIGH OF THE
YEAR ON FRIDAY AND EACH DAY AFTER. THIS WOULD BE NEARLY A MONTH
BEFORE THE AVERAGE FIRST 90 DEGREE DAY OF MAY 2ND FOR FLO/LBT.
THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING 90 DEGREES WILL BE ON SUNDAY AS WARM
AIR ADVECTION INCREASES AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. COOLER ON
THE COAST AS A STRONG SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS, KEEPING COASTAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80. HUMID EACH
DAY WITH DEW POINTS SOLIDLY IN THE 60S.
A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THIS
INITIAL FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE SUNDAY. SOME
WEAK INSTABILITY INLAND COULD PRODUCE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
OR TWO. THE SHORTWAVE ACCOMPANYING THE COLD FRONT WILL WEAKEN AS
IT LIFTS NORTHWARD LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. A SECONDARY
SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON MONDAY. LIFT WILL BE
STRONGER AND MORE PRONOUNCED WITH THE SECOND WAVE AND THIS
SHOULD BE THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW ON
TUESDAY.
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ONSHORE FLOW IS RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS IN THE
500 TO 1000 FT RANGE EARLY THIS MORNING. ALL TERMINALS CONTAIN
AT LEAST TEMPO CIGS BELOW 1KFT BETWEEN NOW AND ABOUT DAYBREAK.
CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT TO VFR CONDITIONS WITH DAYTIME HEATING
BUT IT COULD TAKE TILL MIDDAY OR LATER, ESPECIALLY INLAND. ATTM,
NOT ANTICIPATING A REPEAT WED NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS WINDS WILL
BECOME MORE SE-S BY THE END OF THE VALID TAF PERIOD.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK... MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MARINE
THROUGH TONIGHT... E WINDS TO 10 TO 15 KT WILL BECOME SE AND
CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. SEAS WILL RUN 3 TO 4 FT.
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN SOUTHERLY
WINDS BETWEEN 10-15 KNOTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL INCREASE LATE THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY,
AND BUILDING SEAS TO 6 FEET COULD BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AS A
PROLONGED FETCH SOUTHERLY WINDS BUILDS THE WIND WAVE.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR NCZ106-108.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...ILM
NEAR TERM...31
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM...21
AVIATION...31
MARINE...21/31
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