050  
FNUS52 KILM 081926  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
326 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE AREA  
THIS WEEKEND, POSSIBLY MAINTAINING UNSETTLED WEATHER NEAR THE  
COAST. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US  
EARLY NEXT WEEK LEADING TO AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF UNSETTLED  
WEATHER.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
 
NCZ105>110-091130-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,  
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH  
326 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 50 20  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 30 50 50 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 63 83 56 74  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 57 91 42  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR W 4 N 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 N 5 NE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.20 0.11 0.07  
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 67/0800 2000 58/0600  
DISPERSION POOR FAIR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4700 4200  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 14 N 9  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 65800 37800  
ADI EARLY 9 POOR 27 FAIR 9 POOR 48 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 8 POOR 55 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 5 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 6 RAIN  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 6 RAIN 6 RAIN  
TURNER STABILITY F B E C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NCZ087-096-099-091130-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
326 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 50 20  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 30 50 50 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 63 83 56 74  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 53 88 37  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR NW 4 NE 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4 N 5 NE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.16 0.09 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 2 3 2 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 69/0900 2000 58/0600  
DISPERSION POOR FAIR  
DSI 3 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 5000 4200  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 13 N 9  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 65000 37800  
ADI EARLY 9 POOR 28 FAIR 10 POOR 49 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 8 POOR 60 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 4 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 1 5 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 6 RAIN 7  
TURNER STABILITY E B E C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.  
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-091130-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,  
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
326 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 40 30  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 30 50 40 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 63 84 58 73  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 54 90 48  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR W 4 NE 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 N 5 NE 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.16 0.19 0.21  
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 70/0900 1900 60/0600  
DISPERSION POOR FAIR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 5300 4300  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 13 NE 9  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 68900 38700  
ADI EARLY 9 POOR 26 FAIR 8 POOR 44 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 8 POOR 56 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 5 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 6 RAIN  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 6 RAIN  
TURNER STABILITY E B E C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.  
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-091130-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
326 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 50 20  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 30 50 50 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 62 84 56 74  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 50 87 39  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 4 LGT/VAR NW 4 NE 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR W 4 N 5 NE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.13 0.22 0.15  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 69/0900 2000 59/0600  
DISPERSION POOR FAIR  
DSI 3 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 5400 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) W 13 NE 8  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 70200 35200  
ADI EARLY 8 POOR 31 FAIR 9 POOR 48 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 8 POOR 74 GOOD 14 GEN POOR 46 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 4 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 1 4 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 6 RAIN 7  
TURNER STABILITY E B E C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.  
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 
 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 
 
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