305  
FNUS52 KILM 091815  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS PERSIST WITH A GREATER THAN USUAL  
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED LATE ON THURSDAY  
AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS WITH  
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS  
OVER THE WEEKEND AND CONTINUES THROUGH MIDWEEK.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.  
 
NCZ105>110-100715-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,  
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH  
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 70 70 80  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 20 70 70 70  
MIN/MAX TEMP 73 90 72 89  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 62 99 71  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 7 SW 5 S 6 SW 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) S 4 S 7 SW 4 SW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.13  
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 3 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 77/0800 2000 77/0700  
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR  
DSI 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3700 4300  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 16 SW 16  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 59200 68800  
ADI EARLY 30 FAIR 38 FAIR 20 GEN POOR 47 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 9 POOR 50 GEN GOOD 9 POOR 53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 5 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 6 3 7 3  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 6 RAIN  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 6 RAIN 6 RAIN  
TURNER STABILITY E C E C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NCZ087-096-099-100715-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 70 70 80  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 40 70 70 70  
MIN/MAX TEMP 73 90 72 90  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 61 100 69  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 5 SW 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 4  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.13 0.21 0.12  
PRECIP DURATION 2 4 3 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 75/0800 1900 75/0700  
DISPERSION POOR VERY POOR  
DSI 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3900 4300  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 14 SW 16  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 54600 68800  
ADI EARLY 24 FAIR 35 FAIR 10 POOR 39 FAIR  
ADI LATE 7 POOR 48 GEN GOOD 6 VERY POOR 57 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 7 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 9 3  
MIN VSBY EARLY 6 RAIN 5 RAIN 6 RAIN  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 6 RAIN 6 RAIN  
TURNER STABILITY E B F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-100715-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,  
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 60 70  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 30 60 60 70  
MIN/MAX TEMP 72 91 72 91  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 59 100 65  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 6 SW 4 SW 5 SW 4  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 LGT/VAR SW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.17 0.15 0.10  
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 3 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 76/0800 2000 77/0800  
DISPERSION FAIR POOR  
DSI 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4100 3700  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 14 SW 16  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 57400 59200  
ADI EARLY 30 FAIR 39 FAIR 13 GEN POOR 46 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 7 POOR 49 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 50 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 6 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 9 3  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 6 RAIN  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 6 RAIN 6 RAIN  
TURNER STABILITY F B E C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-100715-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 80 70  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 40 50 70 70  
MIN/MAX TEMP 71 91 71 91  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 55 100 60  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.20 0.25 0.28 0.07  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 3 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 74/0800 2000 76/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR VERY POOR  
DSI 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4300 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 13 SW 15  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 55900 58500  
ADI EARLY 12 POOR 35 FAIR 9 POOR 48 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 6 VERY POOR 52 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 51 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 7 7 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 9 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 6 RAIN 4 RAIN 6 RAIN  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 6 RAIN 6 RAIN  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
97 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
97 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...WEINER  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab NC Page
The Nexlab SC Page
Main Text Page