305
FNUS52 KILM 091815
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025
DISCUSSION
VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS PERSIST WITH A GREATER THAN USUAL
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED LATE ON THURSDAY
AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS WITH
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS
OVER THE WEEKEND AND CONTINUES THROUGH MIDWEEK.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.
NCZ105>110-100715-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 70 70 80
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 20 70 70 70
MIN/MAX TEMP 73 90 72 89
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 62 99 71
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 7 SW 5 S 6 SW 5
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) S 4 S 7 SW 4 SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.13
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 3 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 77/0800 2000 77/0700
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR
DSI 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT) 3700 4300
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 16 SW 16
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 59200 68800
ADI EARLY 30 FAIR 38 FAIR 20 GEN POOR 47 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 9 POOR 50 GEN GOOD 9 POOR 53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 6 3 7 3
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 6 RAIN
MIN VSBY LATE 7 6 RAIN 6 RAIN
TURNER STABILITY E C E C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NCZ087-096-099-100715-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 70 70 80
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 40 70 70 70
MIN/MAX TEMP 73 90 72 90
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 61 100 69
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 5 SW 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 4
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.13 0.21 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 2 4 3 4
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 75/0800 1900 75/0700
DISPERSION POOR VERY POOR
DSI 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT) 3900 4300
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 14 SW 16
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 54600 68800
ADI EARLY 24 FAIR 35 FAIR 10 POOR 39 FAIR
ADI LATE 7 POOR 48 GEN GOOD 6 VERY POOR 57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 7 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 9 3
MIN VSBY EARLY 6 RAIN 5 RAIN 6 RAIN
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 6 RAIN 6 RAIN
TURNER STABILITY E B F C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ054>056-058-059-100715-
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-
NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 60 70
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 30 60 60 70
MIN/MAX TEMP 72 91 72 91
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 59 100 65
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 6 SW 4 SW 5 SW 4
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 LGT/VAR SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.17 0.15 0.10
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 3 4
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 76/0800 2000 77/0800
DISPERSION FAIR POOR
DSI 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT) 4100 3700
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 14 SW 16
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 57400 59200
ADI EARLY 30 FAIR 39 FAIR 13 GEN POOR 46 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 7 POOR 49 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 6 5
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 9 3
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 6 RAIN
MIN VSBY LATE 7 6 RAIN 6 RAIN
TURNER STABILITY F B E C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-100715-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
215 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2025
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 80 70
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 40 50 70 70
MIN/MAX TEMP 71 91 71 91
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 55 100 60
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) S 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.20 0.25 0.28 0.07
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 3 4
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM CONTINUING
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 2000 74/0800 2000 76/0900
DISPERSION VERY POOR VERY POOR
DSI 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT) 4300 3900
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 13 SW 15
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 55900 58500
ADI EARLY 12 POOR 35 FAIR 9 POOR 48 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 6 VERY POOR 52 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 7 7 5
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 9 2
MIN VSBY EARLY 6 RAIN 4 RAIN 6 RAIN
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 6 RAIN 6 RAIN
TURNER STABILITY F B F B
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECASTER...WEINER
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