879
FNUS72 KILM 251308
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR MEYERS 3...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
908 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE
COAST OVERNIGHT WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRIER AIR
EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (60471 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........3.
MAX ADI.............76.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 6 17 33 50 45 40 35
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............82 85 87 88 89 88 87 86
RH..............68 59 55 54 53 56 60 62
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 3.2 4.3 4.8 4.4 4.0 2.7 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 13 13 14 13 14 14
STABILITY.......A A A A A C C A
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............24 43 68 76 76 47 42 46
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.18 33 54 60 60 51 38 35
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD GD FR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...986 988 988 988 986 986 986 984
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7
TO 12 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2900 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........6.
MIN ADI.............3.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........28 21 14 19 24 29 30 19 25 46 37 34
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............84 82 80 78 77 76 76 75 74 73 72 71
RH..............65 71 79 85 88 91 87 85 84 83 83 82
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S SW SW SW W W NW NW N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 13 12 10 9 9 7 7 8 9 12
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 4
ADI.............6 5 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 5
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.15 10 7 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 4 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...984 984 988 988 988 991 991 991 992 992 992 993
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (34614 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MAX ADI.............43.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 32 34 37 38 38 39 39 40 39 38 37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 70 71 74 78 81 84 86 87 87 87 86
RH..............81 81 76 71 64 56 52 49 47 47 47 49
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NE NE N W SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 9 9 9 8 7 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.9 3.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE N N W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 14 15 13 9 9 8 7 7 7 7
STABILITY.......A A A A A A A A A A A A
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............12 11 13 20 21 20 35 40 43 43 43 43
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 5 9 16 17 16 27 32 34 34 34 35
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...993 993 999 999 999 001 001 001 999 999 999 996
FORECASTER...BACON
REQUESTED BY...ZACH WEST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520633.0/ILM
.DELDT 08/25/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ZWEST@TNC.ORG
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