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FNUS52 KILM 160542
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
142 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER NEAR THE OUTER BANKS THROUGH TONIGHT
BEFORE LIFTING OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
BEHIND THE LOW AND SHOULD PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES LATE IN THE WEEK. AN APPROACHING FRONT COULD LEAD TO
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.
NCZ105>110-161845-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH
142 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 60 79
MIN/MAX RH (%) 65 96 59
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 9 G18 NW 7 G18 W 5
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 10 G20 W 4 NW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 64/0800 2000 61/0600
DISPERSION FAIR
DSI 1 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 4000 4900
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NW 20 W 14
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 80000 68600
ADI EARLY 41 GEN GOOD 27 FAIR 43 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 50 GEN GOOD 9 POOR 69 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 3 6 2
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY D E C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM
RH 99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NCZ087-096-099-161845-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
142 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 60 79
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 94 56
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 7 G18 NW 6 G19 NW 4
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 10 G21 LGT/VAR NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 65/0900 2000 NONE
DISPERSION POOR
DSI 1 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 4500 5000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 20 NW 13
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 90000 65000
ADI EARLY 50 GEN GOOD 27 FAIR 32 FAIR
ADI LATE 53 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 70 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 3 6 2
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY D E C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM
RH 100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ054>056-058-059-161845-
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-
NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR
142 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 80 58 83
MIN/MAX RH (%) 48 97 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 6 NW 5 G17 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 9 G18 LGT/VAR NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 66/0900 2000 68/1000
DISPERSION VERY POOR
DSI 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 6100 5200
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 18 W 12
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 109800 62400
ADI EARLY 50 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 36 FAIR
ADI LATE 81 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 79 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY C F B
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM
RH 99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM
RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161845-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
142 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 81 57 83
MIN/MAX RH (%) 42 96 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) N 5 N 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) N 9 G18 LGT/VAR NW 4
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 65/0900 1900 65/0900
DISPERSION VERY POOR
DSI 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 6500 5600
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 20 NW 10
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 130000 56000
ADI EARLY 55 GEN GOOD 18 GEN POOR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 87 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY C F B
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM
RH 100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECASTER...TRA
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