620  
FNUS52 KILM 161813  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
213 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK  
WEEK BEFORE WARMER AND MOISTER CONDITIONS RETURN THIS WEEKEND AS  
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH  
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LITTLE RAINFALL EXPECTED. THIS FRONT WILL BRING  
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS AGAIN THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
 
NCZ105>110-170715-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,  
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH  
213 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 69 45 74  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 86 39 84 42  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 54/1000 1800 59/1000  
DISPERSION VERY POOR VERY POOR  
DSI 1 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3600 3700  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 15 SW 6  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 54000 22200  
ADI EARLY 6 VERY POOR 45 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 16 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 65 GOOD 3 VERY POOR 24 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 3 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 4 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
83 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
84 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM  
RH 82 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NCZ087-096-099-170715-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
213 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 69 46 75  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 82 36 86 42  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 55/1000 1800 59/1000  
DISPERSION VERY POOR VERY POOR  
DSI 1 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3900 3700  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 12 SW 7  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 46800 25900  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 36 FAIR 3 VERY POOR 16 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 55 GEN GOOD 3 VERY POOR 35 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 3 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 5 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
93 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. LIGHT  
WINDS.  
 
 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-170715-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,  
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
213 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 68 47 73  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 82 42 89 48  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 57/1000 1900 60/1000  
DISPERSION VERY POOR VERY POOR  
DSI 1 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3500 4100  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 10 SW 6  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 35000 24600  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 30 FAIR 3 VERY POOR 15 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 45 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 28 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 4 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 5 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
93 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
84 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM  
RH 83 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-170715-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
213 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 70 47 76  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 87 40 91 45  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 55/1000 1800 60/1000  
DISPERSION VERY POOR VERY POOR  
DSI 1 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3800 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 8 SW 7  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 30400 27300  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 26 FAIR 3 VERY POOR 16 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 36 FAIR 3 VERY POOR 37 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 4 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 5 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
78 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. LIGHT  
WINDS.  
 
 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 
 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...BOATMAN  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab NC Page
The Nexlab SC Page
Main Text Page