027
FNUS52 KILM 150627
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
127 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST THIS MORNING
THROUGH 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR SOUTH CAROLINA...
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING, BRINGING
DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS. CRITICAL RH VALUES NEAR 25-30% WILL OCCUR
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, AND FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO
30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. COLD, DRY AIR REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT, THOUGH WITH WEAKER WINDS. NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
IMPACTS THE AREA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
NCZ105>110-151930-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH
127 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 15 49
MIN/MAX RH (%) 25 78 23
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 8 G19 NW 7 G20 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 11 G20 W 4 G17 SW 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 40/0600 1800 29/0900
DISPERSION FAIR
DSI 1 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 5500 3000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NW 24 SW 18
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 132000 54000
ADI EARLY 54 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 76 GOOD 7 POOR 60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 2 3
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 1
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY D F C
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT THROUGH TONIGHT.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW.
COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NCZ087-096-099-151930-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
127 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 18 48
MIN/MAX RH (%) 23 70 19
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 8 G20 NW 6 G18 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 10 G22 LGT/VAR SW 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 37/0600 1800 29/0900
DISPERSION VERY POOR
DSI 1 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 5900 3000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NW 25 SW 20
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 147500 60000
ADI EARLY 60 GEN GOOD 13 GEN POOR 41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 83 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 2 3
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 1
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY D F C
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT THROUGH TONIGHT.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. MAXIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
27 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ054>056-058-059-151930-
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-
NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR
127 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 20 49
MIN/MAX RH (%) 25 63 23
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 8 G18 NW 6 G19 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 10 G19 LGT/VAR SW 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 39/0600 1800 30/0900
DISPERSION VERY POOR
DSI 1 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 5900 2800
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NW 24 SW 15
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 141600 42000
ADI EARLY 54 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 33 FAIR
ADI LATE 78 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 44 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 2 3
MAX LVORI LATE 1 2 1
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY D F C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-151930-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
127 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 18 48
MIN/MAX RH (%) 23 66 21
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 8 G19 NW 6 G17 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 10 G20 LGT/VAR SW 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 36/0600 1800 29/0900
DISPERSION VERY POOR
DSI 1 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 6600 2800
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NW 24 SW 18
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 158400 50400
ADI EARLY 54 GEN GOOD 13 GEN POOR 44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 81 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 2 3
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 1
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7
TURNER STABILITY D F C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. MAXIMUM RH
70 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECASTER...BOATMAN
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