370
FNUS72 KILM 161047
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR HASTY PT...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
547 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
ARCTIC AIR HAS SETTLED INTO THE REGION. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TO CALM FOR MOST OF THE MORNING, FINALLY BUILDING A
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY COMPONENT BY AROUND NOON OR SO. FROM THERE, A
LIGHT BREEZE SHOULD PICK UP AT 5-9 MPH. GUSTS COULD BE AS HIGH AS
18-20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY AFTER 1 PM, BEFORE
SUBSIDING FOR GOOD BY 5-6 PM. VERY DRY AIR REMAINS IN PLACE, WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS LIKELY THIS MORNING. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LIKELY DIPS DOWN TOWARDS 25-30% FROM NOON TO 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON. MOISTURE RECOVERS MORE ON SATURDAY, BUT WINDS ARE ON
THE RISE AGAIN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON SUNDAY,
CREATING GOOD RAIN CHANCES AND PERHAPS SOME WINTRY MIX, BUT NOT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF AMOUNTS.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
MAX MIXING HGT......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 14
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (88842 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........5.
MAX ADI.............63.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 2 12 21 31 40 50 59 60 62 63 62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 40 42 48 55 59 61 63 64 64 63 60
RH..............90 89 92 81 69 61 55 51 49 50 52 58
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 8 10 10 10 12 10 9 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 11 14 15 15 17 17 15 14 13 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.9 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 15 22 24 24 23 21 20 17 14
STABILITY.......C C C C D D D D D D C C
LVORI...........5 5 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............10 10 11 22 41 54 59 63 55 48 55 36
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 6 10 17 42 63 76 89 75 62 51 30
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD FR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...017 019 019 019 021 021 021 016 016 016 013 013
FORECASTER...BOATMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600310.0/ILM
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOHN_C_COOK@FWS.GOV
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