158
FNUS72 KILM 161136
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR HASTY PT...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
636 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
ARCTIC AIR HAS SETTLED INTO THE REGION. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TO CALM FOR MOST OF THE MORNING, FINALLY BUILDING A
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY COMPONENT BY AROUND NOON OR SO. FROM THERE, A
LIGHT BREEZE SHOULD PICK UP AT 5-9 MPH. GUSTS COULD BE AS HIGH AS
18-20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY AFTER 1 PM, BEFORE
SUBSIDING FOR GOOD BY 5-6 PM. VERY DRY AIR REMAINS IN PLACE, WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS LIKELY THIS MORNING. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LIKELY DIPS DOWN TOWARDS 25-30% FROM NOON TO 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON. MOISTURE RECOVERS MORE ON SATURDAY, BUT WINDS ARE ON
THE RISE AGAIN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON SUNDAY,
CREATING GOOD RAIN CHANCES AND PERHAPS SOME WINTRY MIX, BUT NOT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF AMOUNTS.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (48277 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........2.
MAX ADI.............50.
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 38 41 44 45 46 47 44
RH..............37 33 30 27 28 29 30 38
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 6 6 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 8 12 15 17 17 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.2 2.8 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 9 9 13 14 15 15 15
STABILITY.......B B C C C C C C
LVORI...........2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............13 26 26 41 45 50 46 41
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.10 20 23 39 43 48 42 35
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...020 020 020 018 018 018 015 015
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (4833 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........6.
MIN ADI.............5.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 5 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 39 38 37 35 36 36 36 37 38 38 38
RH..............48 60 67 75 85 85 87 90 87 86 87 88
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 12 13 12 13 12 12 12 12 13
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 5
ADI.............6 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 6
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 7 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...015 018 018 018 019 019 019 017 017 017 017 017
FORECASTER...BOATMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600310.1/ILM
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOHN_C_COOK@FWS.GOV
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