977
FNUS72 KILM 281747
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOGBRANCH RXB...NORTH CAROLINA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1247 PM EST WED JAN 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.
AN INCREASING THREAT FOR A STRONG WINTER STORM SYSTEM POSSIBLY
AFFECTING THE AREA THIS WEEKEND, WITH SNOW THE PRIMARY PCPN TYPE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO
14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (50750 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........1.
MAX ADI.............61.
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........18 13 16 18 11 7 3 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............33 36 39 42 44 45 45 44 43
RH..............48 43 38 35 33 33 34 35 39
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE N N NW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 8 6 6 6 7 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.7 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW NW NW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 10 12 12 10 12 14 14
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............33 33 31 40 46 44 51 61 46
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.26 26 25 32 38 36 42 51 37
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...024 028 028 028 017 017 017 012 012
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14 TO 16
MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2964 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........3.
MIN ADI.............4.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0 0 1 1 2 5 4 3 2 3 2 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 37 35 34 32 32 31 32 31 30 28 27
RH..............46 52 56 61 66 64 66 66 68 69 71 68
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W NW NW NW N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 4 5 5 6 7 9 9 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W NW N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 8 9 10 13 13 14 15 15 16
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............5 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 9
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...012 013 013 013 015 015 015 013 013 013 017 017
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX MIXING HGT......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (57114 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........3.
MAX ADI.............69.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3 4 3 11 11 30 27 37 55 54 66
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............26 25 27 31 33 37 39 41 42 41 41 39
RH..............67 62 56 45 38 32 30 28 28 28 29 32
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 8 8 7 7 6 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 9 8 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.5 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 20 21 20 18 17 16 14 13 12 10
STABILITY.......B B B B B C C B B B B B
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............18 26 41 51 61 59 58 69 64 60 49 36
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 20 31 40 48 56 56 57 53 50 40 29
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...017 023 023 023 029 029 029 026 026 026 022 022
FORECASTER...KEEBLER
REQUESTED BY...ALAN MATTHEWW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601221.0/ILM
.DELDT 01/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALAN.MATTHEWS@NCAGR.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page