581  
FNUS72 KILM 291201  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYES RXB...NORTH CAROLINA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
701 AM EST THU JAN 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON JANUARY 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MIN RH TODAY IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS 15 MPH THRU MIDDAY. N WINDS WILL  
DIMINISH TO NW AT OR BELOW 5 MPH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
 
COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AN  
INCREASING THREAT FOR A STRONG WINTER STORM SYSTEM AFFECTING THE  
AREA THIS WEEKEND, WITH STRONG WINDS AND PRIMARILY SNOW AS THE  
PCPN TYPE.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (45521 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........2.  
MAX ADI.............55.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 15 25 24 43 45 62 57 68  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............30 32 36 38 40 41 41 40 39  
RH..............49 41 34 30 28 27 28 28 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 5 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 10 10 11 9 8 5 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.5 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 15 14 13 12 10 9 8  
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............41 48 51 55 55 51 45 39 23  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.32 38 40 45 46 42 37 32 18  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...018 025 025 025 019 019 019 017 017  
 

 
FORECASTER...KEEBLER  
REQUESTED BY...KYLE POWELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601273.0/ILM  
.DELDT 01/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KYLE.POWELL@NCAGR.GOV  
 
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