595
FNUS72 KILM 291258
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR TCESF RX...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
758 AM EST THU JAN 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
MIN RH TODAY IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS 15 MPH THRU MIDDAY. N WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO NW AT OR BELOW 5 MPH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AN
INCREASING THREAT FOR A STRONG WINTER STORM SYSTEM AFFECTING THE
AREA THIS WEEKEND, WITH STRONG WINDS AND PRIMARILY SNOW AS THE
PCPN TYPE.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX MIXING HGT......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (49878 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........2.
MAX ADI.............61.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 1 16 19 15 29 42 49 43 46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............24 28 31 34 36 38 39 40 40 37
RH..............55 47 38 34 30 27 25 25 25 30
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NW NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 5 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 13 13 13 9 8 6 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.6 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 17 16 15 13 10 10 8 7
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............44 44 56 57 61 57 48 48 35 21
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.34 34 45 46 50 48 40 40 29 17
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...018 018 024 024 024 018 018 018 016 016
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1450 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........3.
MIN ADI.............2.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........47 63 59 56 52 43 33 31 28 30 31 28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............33 31 29 28 27 25 24 24 23 23 23 22
RH..............38 45 48 51 53 56 59 62 65 62 62 65
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 5 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...016 018 018 018 019 019 019 017 017 017 015 015
FORECASTER...KEEBLER
REQUESTED BY...COREY KLAMUT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601311.0/ILM
.DELDT 01/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL COREY.KLAMUT@NCAGR.GOV
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