760
FNUS72 KILM 301002
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG BAY RX BURN...NC STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
502 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS REMAIN
OVER THE CAROLINAS THROUGH SATURDAY. A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM
IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND FOLLOWED BY COLD AND DRY WEATHER NEXT
WEEK.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (33558 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........2.
MAX ADI.............35.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........39 55 70 71 79 77 85 82 75 71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............27 31 35 38 40 42 43 43 43 40
RH..............60 49 42 37 36 35 35 36 37 42
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.0 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE E E E E NE E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 13 14
STABILITY.......B B C C C C C C D D
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2
ADI.............10 14 23 27 30 31 32 35 28 29
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 10 18 22 26 28 30 32 34 33
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...014 014 017 017 017 011 011 011 008 008
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN MIXING HGT......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 24
MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (6518 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MIN ADI.............7.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........53 42 48 43 65 76 88 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............37 34 33 31 30 30 29 27 27 25 24 24
RH..............48 54 55 59 64 66 70 77 79 84 87 85
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 9 10 10 11 12 13 13 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.3 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 18 21 21 21 23 24 24 23 24
STABILITY.......E F E E E E E D D D D D
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
ADI.............9 7 11 12 14 14 14 26 27 27 26 27
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 12 11 26 30 35 34 40 44 46 31 34
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...008 008 008 008 005 005 005 999 999 999 998 998
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE
MORNING, THEN SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 MPH.
MAX MIXING HGT......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 25 TO 28 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (60900 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MAX ADI.............56.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 84 95 93 91 91 91 92 92 93 93 93
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............23 23 23 24 25 26 27 26 26 26 26 24
RH..............87 85 89 87 81 79 78 79 79 78 78 83
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 15 15 19 19 20 18 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 25 25 26 26 26 26 25 26 26 28 28
STABILITY.......D D D D D D D D D D D D
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............48 43 46 50 49 51 51 51 53 54 56 53
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.48 41 47 51 50 53 54 54 57 59 61 55
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR GD FR
SFC PRES (IN)...998 997 997 997 996 996 996 990 990 990 984 984
FORECASTER...BAKER
REQUESTED BY...LAURA WEBSTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601355.0/ILM
.DELDT 01/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LAURA.WEBSTER@NCPARKS.GOV
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