820
FXUS62 KILM 080540
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1240 AM EST SUN FEB 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR THE 06Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER THROUGH
TONIGHT WITH DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS EARLY THIS MORNING.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY
COLD WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT WITH DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS
EARLY THIS MORNING.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AS ARCTIC
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS AROUND 14
DEGREES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AROUND DAYBREAK, MAINLY ACROSS SE
NC WHERE A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM.
OTHERWISE, HIGHS TODAY WILL MAINLY BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S
WITH LOWS TONIGHT GENERALLY BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S.
HOWEVER, THE LACK OF MUCH WIND SHOULD KEEP WIND CHILLS ABOVE
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA (15 DEGREES) TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY
AWAY FROM THE NORMALLY COLDER PARTS OF INLAND PENDER COUNTY.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE 06Z/08 TAF PERIOD.
EXTENDED FORECAST...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS FROM SHALLOW FOG COULD
DEVELOP LATE MON NIGHT AND AGAIN TUE NIGHT. INTERMITTENT SEA FOG
COULD ALSO IMPACT THE COASTAL TERMINALS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
PRIOR TO THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WHICH COULD BRING SOME
RESTRICTIONS DUE TO RAIN/LOW CLOUDS WED/THU.
MARINE
THROUGH TONIGHT...BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING IMPROVING MARINE
CONDITIONS WHICH WILL FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS BY
DAYBREAK.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD WILL BE
CHARACTERIZED BY LIGHT WINDS AND MANAGEABLE SEAS IN THE 2-3 FT
RANGE. THIS IS DUE TO THE POST ARCTIC FRONTAL HIGH SINKING GRADUALLY
INTO THE BAHAMAS KEEPING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCALLY QUITE RELAXED.
AFTER A BRIEF WINDOW OF NE WINDS THE LIGHT FLOW WILL TURN TO THE SW
AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SINKS SOUTH OF OUR LATITUDE. THE WIND WAVE
ENERGY SHOULD BE SO MINIMAL THAT ON A ENE BACKSWELL WILL REMAIN AND
EVEN THAT SHOULD BE IN A STATE OF DECAY. A COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY
WILL BE OF ONLY MODERATE STRENGTH ESPECIALLY COMPARED TO THE RECENT
FRONTAL PASSAGES THIS MONTH. A MINOR UPTICK OF WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE
EXPECTED LATER IN THE PERIOD ALONG WITH A FRONTALLY INDUCED VEERING
IN DIRECTION (IT'S ALSO TOUGH TO RULE OUT A 4 FT WAVE APPEARING
ALONG THE OUTER HALF OF THE NC FCST ZONES). THIS SHOULD STEEPEN WAVE
FACES EVEN AS THEIR OVERALL HEIGHT REMAINS RELATIVELY UNCHANGED.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NCZ087-
096-099-105>110.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR AMZ250-
252-254-256.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...RJB
KEY MESSAGES...RJB/MBB
DISCUSSION...RJB/MBB
AVIATION...RJB
MARINE...RJB/MBB
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