068
FNUS72 KILM 191229
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMPSON RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
829 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS AND A DRY
AIR MASS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO
MODERATE THIS WEEKEND IN ONSHORE FLOW. MODEST MOISTURE RECOVERY
IS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (49474 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........3.
MAX ADI.............61.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 9 18 27 33 40 46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 47 51 54 56 58 59 60 60
RH..............69 55 44 41 38 36 36 37 39
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 6 6 5 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 9 8 8 8 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.7 2.5 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 15 13 10 10 9 9
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............16 28 44 61 56 51 52 46 42
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 22 35 49 46 42 43 39 35
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...025 025 027 027 027 021 021 021 015
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIN MIXING HGT......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
OVERNIGHT BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1088 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........7.
MIN ADI.............2.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........41 36 30 29 27 25 7 3 2 5 5 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 55 51 49 47 45 44 43 41 40 40 39
RH..............43 51 60 65 71 77 80 84 87 90 91 93
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E SE SE SE S NW N NW N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE E E E E E E NE N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 6
ADI.............4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.25 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...015 015 017 017 017 021 021 021 018 018 018 016
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (26114 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........6.
MAX ADI.............33.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 5 9 7 4 1 2 3 4 4 5 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 38 39 44 52 59 63 66 67 68 68 67
RH..............92 92 94 81 65 52 47 42 37 36 36 38
20 FT WIND DIR..N NW N N NE NE NE E SE SE SE S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 0 1 1 1 2 3 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.1 3.6 4.1 3.4 2.7 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE N NE NE E SE SE S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 8 9 12
STABILITY.......A A A A A B B B B B B B
LVORI...........6 6 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1
ADI.............4 4 4 4 9 14 18 23 28 32 33 30
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 2 4 7 11 14 19 23 26 26 24
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...016 016 018 018 018 019 019 019 013 013 013 006
FORECASTER...BACON
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN BURMESTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606525.0/ILM
.DELDT 03/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NATHAN.BURMESTER@TNC.ORG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page