830
FNUS72 KILM 200846
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOCR RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
446 AM EDT FRI MAR 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0953 EDT ON MARCH 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY WITH SEA BREEZE
AROUND 1PM, BEFORE VEERING TO 5-10 MPH SOUTHERLIES AROUND 5PM.
MODEST MOISTURE RECOVERY IS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE NEXT
COLD FRONT, WHICH WILL MOVE ACROSS LATE MONDAY WITH LIMITED RAINFALL.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (38437 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MAX ADI.............46.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 1 2 0 1 1 2 2 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 53 59 63 67 69 71 71 72
RH..............77 63 51 45 39 35 34 34 33
20 FT WIND DIR..N W W SW S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5
20 FT WIND GUST.1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.2 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SE SE S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 5 5 3 3 5 5 7 9
STABILITY.......A A A A B B B B B
LVORI...........4 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1
ADI.............2 7 12 12 15 23 24 37 46
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 5 9 10 12 19 21 31 38
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...017 017 018 018 018 012 012 012 005
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIN MIXING HGT......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (6317 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MIN ADI.............5.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........12 40 50 59 67 47 40 43 43 47 38 16
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............69 65 61 56 54 53 53 52 51 53 52 52
RH..............39 44 48 53 58 65 71 76 81 75 75 74
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 15 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 16
STABILITY.......F F E E E E F E E E F F
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 3
ADI.............5 6 8 10 9 9 7 10 10 11 7 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.34 7 6 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 11
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...005 005 003 003 003 001 001 001 996 996 996 990
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX MIXING HGT......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8
TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (51947 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........3.
MAX ADI.............61.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........20 21 28 38 41 44 46 47 49 48 47 46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 52 53 56 62 67 71 75 78 79 80 79
RH..............72 73 72 69 63 54 49 46 42 40 40 41
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.6 3.5 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 15 18 17 17 15 14 12 10 9 8
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............17 18 16 30 35 41 48 57 61 57 52 47
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 12 10 23 27 32 38 47 52 49 45 41
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR
SFC PRES (IN)...990 990 989 989 989 991 991 991 987 987 987 984
FORECASTER...OLIVA
REQUESTED BY...SEAN WESTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606292.1/ILM
.DELDT 03/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SEAN_WESTON@NPS.GOV
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