603
FXUS62 KILM 041903
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
303 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THIS
UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL ALLOW
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALLOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE NW
THROUGH FRIDAY KEEPING THE AREA IN UNSEASONABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.
BY SATURDAY THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE LEADING TO A WEAK, GRADUAL
RETURN FLOW. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO DROP INTO THE AREA, THOUGH
MAY STALL JUST NORTH. ITS PRESENCE PAIRED WITH THE INCREASED LL
MOISTURE SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON STORMS
MONDAY. THEREAFTER THE BOUNDARY MAY SINK TO OUR NORTH ONCE AGAIN
PUTTING US IN A DRY ADVECTION REGIME TUESDAY AND/OR WEDNESDAY
FOR A RETURN OF LARGELY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS.
AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR WITH CLEAR SKIES AND NO FOG. ONLY FM GROUPS NEEDED WILL BE
TO ADDRESS VEERING WINDS TODAY THAT WILL GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
EXTENDED FORECAST...VFR THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A LOW CHANCE
FOR SHALLOW GROUND FOG OR LOW STRATUS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
TRANSIENT RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO SHOWERS/STORMS ON
MONDAY.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NW EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL
BRING SOME ATYPICAL NE WINDS TODAY THAT WILL VEER AS THE CENTER
OF THE HIGH APPROACHES. BY TOMORROW THIS BRINGS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS, THOUGH A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT WILL TRY TO BECOME
ESTABLISHED LATE. A MORE NORMAL SW FLOW AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES ESTABLISHED SATURDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT MONDAY WILL NOT SUBSTANTIALLY
INCREASE WINDS OR SEAS, AND A NE FLOW SHOULD RETURN FOLLOWING
ITS PASSAGE.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...MBB
KEY MESSAGES...MBB
DISCUSSION...MBB
AVIATION...MBB
MARINE...MBB
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