404
FXUS62 KILM 042305
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
705 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE SEABREEZE CONTINUES TO PUSH FARTHER INLAND WITH A DRY COLUMN
IN PLACE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST WITH THIS UPDATE. THE AVIATION DISCUSSION WAS UPDATED
FOR THE 00Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL ALLOW
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALLOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE NW
THROUGH FRIDAY KEEPING THE AREA IN UNSEASONABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.
BY SATURDAY THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE LEADING TO A WEAK, GRADUAL
RETURN FLOW. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO DROP INTO THE AREA, THOUGH
MAY STALL JUST NORTH. ITS PRESENCE PAIRED WITH THE INCREASED LL
MOISTURE SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON STORMS
MONDAY. THEREAFTER THE BOUNDARY MAY SINK TO OUR NORTH ONCE AGAIN
PUTTING US IN A DRY ADVECTION REGIME TUESDAY AND/OR WEDNESDAY
FOR A RETURN OF LARGELY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING OVERNIGHT AND INTO
FRIDAY. THE SEABREEZE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INLAND DURING THE
EARLY EVENING THEN DISSIPATE LEAVING MOSTLY LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS
FOR ALL TERMINALS. A LIGHT W-SWLY FLOW IS EXPECTED FRIDAY
MORNING, WITH WINDS BACKING DURING THE DAY AS THE SEABREEZE
CIRCULATION TAKES ROOT.
EXTENDED FORECAST...VFR THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A LOW CHANCE
FOR SHALLOW GROUND FOG OR LOW STRATUS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
TRANSIENT RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO SHOWERS/STORMS ON
MONDAY.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NW EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL
BRING SOME ATYPICAL NE WINDS TODAY THAT WILL VEER AS THE CENTER
OF THE HIGH APPROACHES. BY TOMORROW THIS BRINGS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS, THOUGH A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT WILL TRY TO BECOME
ESTABLISHED LATE. A MORE NORMAL SW FLOW AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES ESTABLISHED SATURDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT MONDAY WILL NOT SUBSTANTIALLY
INCREASE WINDS OR SEAS, AND A NE FLOW SHOULD RETURN FOLLOWING
ITS PASSAGE.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...SRP
KEY MESSAGES...MBB
DISCUSSION...MBB
AVIATION...MBB
MARINE...MBB
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