231
FXUS62 KILM 061837
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
237 PM EDT SAT JUN 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
LITTLE HAS CHANGED IN THE FORECAST REASONING.
KEY MESSAGES
1)ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AN NO DROUGHT RELEIF FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AN NO DROUGHT RELEIF FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY WILL BE TOO WEAK AND HAVE TOO LITTLE
SUPPORT ALOFT TO GENERATE ANY MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION. THE
BOUNDARY WILL ONLY TEMPER THE HEAT FROM MID 90S TO LOW 90S
TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY BEFORE LATE WEEK AFTERNOONS START TO WARM
AGAIN AS THE FRONT WASHES OUT AND MID LEVEL HEIGHT RISES RETURN
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR WITH CLEAR SKIES AND NO FOG. SW WINDS A LITTLE GUSTY AT THE
COAST WITH A SEABREEZE BUT LIGHT WINDS RETURN TONIGHT. SUNDAY
LARGELY MORE OF THE SAME.
EXTENDED FORECAST...VFR TO GENERALLY PREVAIL THRU WED. VERY LOW RISK
FOR RESTRICTIONS FROM EARLY MORNING FOG THRU MON AM WITH A BIT
BETTER RISK FOR AT LEAST MVFR CIGS STARTING MON NIGHT BEHIND A
PASSING COLD FRONT AND SOME SHOWERS/STORMS (MAINLY AT KLBT MON PM
AND AT KLBT/KFLO TUE PM.
MARINE
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... SW WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT. SEAS AND SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN
BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS AS THE BOUNDARY IS QUITE WEAK AND HAS
LITTLE TO NO ENERGY ALOFT, THE 925MB JET COMFORTABLY TO OUR NORTH
CROSSING HSE. THE EASTERLY SWELL WILL BECOME A BIT SHADOWED BY THE
INCREASED WIND CHOP. THE POST-FRONTAL ONSHORE FLOW WILL LAST MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY BEFORE A MORE TYPICAL SOUTHERLY COMPONENT RETURNS WHILE
SEAS SETTLE INTO THE 2-3 FT RANGE.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...MBB
KEY MESSAGES...MBB
DISCUSSION...MBB
AVIATION...MBB
MARINE...MBB
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