960
FXUS62 KILM 201039
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
639 AM EDT SAT JUN 20 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.
KEY MESSAGES
1) TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEEK WITH
DIURNAL CONVECTION RETURNING MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL NEXT
WEEK WITH DIURNAL CONVECTION RETURNING MONDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... AFTER TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL TODAY, ABOVE NORMAL READINGS RETURN STARTING SUNDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S EVERYWHERE EXCEPT NEAR THE COAST. HEAT
INDICES WILL ALSO RISE INTO NEXT WEEK, ABOVE 100 DEGREES BY MONDAY
AND TUESDAY OVER MANY AREAS WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR A HEAT
ADVISORY BOTH DAYS. IN TERMS OF RAIN CHANCES, WEAK SUBSIDENCE
ALOFT WILL RESIDE OVER THE AREA EARLY IN THE WEEK BUT THE TREND
WILL BE TOWARDS SLIGHTLY HIGHER DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES THROUGH
MID WEEK AS BETTER SHORTWAVE ENERGY PIVOTS THROUGH THE AREA IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A SURFACE TROUGH DROPPING IN AND REMAINING IN
THE VICINITY.
AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR AND DRY THROUGH THE 12Z TAF PERIOD. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PUSH FROM TN INTO THE CAROLINAS TODAY BEFORE WASHING OUT. THIS
WILL LEAD TO LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW THIS MORNING GIVING WAY TO
GENERALLY LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT.
EXTENDED FORECAST...VFR CONTINUES SUNDAY. MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE
WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON T-STORMS EACH DAY
NEXT WEEK.
MARINE
ALL MARINE HEADLINES HAVE COME TO AN END, WITH WEAK SFC HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE WATERS THIS WEEKEND ALLOWING FOR BENIGN MARINE
CONDITIONS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL START TO TIGHTEN UP ONCE
AGAIN ON MONDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT TO DROP INTO THE AREA,
WITH SW GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KT BY MONDAY AFTN. THE FRONT DROPS IN
TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR SPEEDS TO DECREASE A BIT, AND
WITH A LACK OF CAA BEHIND THE FRONT NOT ANTICIPATING SCA
CONDITIONS MID WEEK.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...MAS
KEY MESSAGES...MAS
DISCUSSION...MAS
AVIATION...CRM
MARINE...MAS
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