944
FXUS62 KILM 060552
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
152 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL INLAND AREAS TODAY. POPS
HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE BOARD.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED HUMIDITY WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK. THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PROVIDE SOME TEMPORARY RELIEF FOR SOME
AREAS EACH DAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...EXPECTING TODAY TO BE VERY SIMILAR TO SUNDAY
FROM A TEMPERATURE STANDPOINT WITH CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
INCREASING SOMEWHAT. HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE IS MORE AGGRESSIVE
WITH SEA BREEZE CONVECTION THAN THE GLOBAL MODELS BUT BASED ON
THE SOMEWHAT IMPRESSIVE COVERAGE INLAND SUNDAY AN INCREASE IN
POPS SEEMS WARRANTED. TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE IS VERY SIMILAR AND
ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT MARGINAL IN NATURE IT APPEARS A COUPLE OF
HOURS OF APPARENT TEMPERATURES AT OR IN EXCESS OF 105 DEGREES IS
DOABLE SIMILAR TO SUNDAY. A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL AREAS NOTING THE MARGINAL NATURE OF THE PRODUCT. MORE
ORGANIC CONVECTION AND DEBRIS CLOUDINESS MAY DICTATE READINGS
SLIGHTLY BUT ONLY A COUPLE OF HOURS OF MAX HEATING BEFORE DRY
AIR MIXING DOWN SEEMINGLY DOES THE TRICK.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
OCEAN/SEA STRATUS IS LEADING TO MVFR CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST
THIS MORNING AND HAVE USED PREVAILING GROUPS TO ADDRESS AS IT
SEEMS SOMEWHAT ESTABLISHED. VFR CONDITIONS RETURN AFTER DAYLIGHT
AND THE ATTENTION TRANSITIONS TO CONVECTION OF WHICH PROB 30
GROUPS HAVE BEEN APPLIED TO ADDRESS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
EXTENDED FORECAST... GENERALLY VFR. LOW POTENTIAL FOR
RESTRICTIONS FROM FOG/LOW CEILINGS EACH MORNING. THREAT FOR
MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY,
CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
MARINE
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY AS THE BERMUDA HIGH
BUILDS WESTWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC. BREEZY SW WINDS ARE
EXPECTED WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING.
SOME CONVECTION COULD DISTORT WINDS TEMPORARILY. CHOPPY SEAS
INCREASE TO AROUND 2-3 FEET. THE SURFACE PATTERN REMAINS STABLE
ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND THE EXTENDED FETCH LEADS TO AN
INCREASE IN SWELL AND WIND WAVES. A COMPRESSED GRADIENT WILL
KEEP BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR NCZ087-096-099-105-107>110.
SC...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...SHK
KEY MESSAGES...SHK
DISCUSSION...SHK
AVIATION...SHK
MARINE...SHK
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