475
FXUS62 KILM 070556
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
156 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL INLAND AREAS FOR TODAY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED HUMIDITY WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK. THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PROVIDE SOME TEMPORARY RELIEF FOR SOME
AREAS EACH DAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...THE SYNOPTIC SETUP HAS CHANGED VERY LITTLE IF
ANY FROM MONDAY THUS EXPECTING SIMILAR CONDITIONS. A VERY
PERSISTENT BUT FADING AREA OF CONVECTION THAT MOVED ACROSS THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CWA MAY DELAY CONVECTION INITIATION
TODAY BUT THEN AGAIN MAY PROVIDE MORE IMPETUS IN A POSSIBLE
EMERGING MCV OR OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS
EVENTUALLY EXPECTED HOWEVER AND SPC HAS THE CWA IN A MARGINAL
RISK.
SIMILAR THERMAL PROFILES ARE EXPECTED AS WELL IF NOT
SLIGHTLY WARMER WITH A POSSIBLE SLIGHT DELAY IN CONVECTION AND
ONCE AGAIN A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED. I WOULDN'T BE
SURPRISED TO SEE AN ISOLATED 110 DEGREE READING OR TWO BUT NOT
ENOUGH LONGEVITY OR CONSISTENCY TO STRONGLY CONSIDER AN
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. SEA/OCEAN
STRATUS DOESN'T APPEAR TO BE AS PREVALENT AS LAST NIGHT SO TEMPO
GROUPS WERE APPLIED ALONG THE COAST TO ADDRESS. FLORENCE AND
LUMBERTON MAY EVENTUALLY SEE STRATUS AND OR SOME FOG VIA SOME
HEAVY RAINFALL IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE TERMINALS LATER THIS
MORNING AS WELL. OUTSIDE OF THIS USED TEMPO AND PROB 30 GROUPS
TO ADDRESS CONVECTION LATER TODAY.
EXTENDED FORECAST... GENERALLY VFR. LOW POTENTIAL FOR
FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS FROM FOG OR LOW CEILINGS EACH MORNING.
THREAT FOR MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK.
MARINE
ITS SUMMER ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WHICH MEANS SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 10-15 OR AT TIMES 15-20 KNOTS. SIGNIFICANT SEAS OF 2-4
FEET BUT CANNOT RULE OUT A MORE NARROW RANGE OF 3-4 FEET. NOT
MUCH CONVECTION WAS OBSERVED AT OR NEAR THE WATERS MONDAY TO
THREATEN MARINERS AND TODAY WOULD APPEAR SIMILAR.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR NCZ087-096-099-105>110.
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
THIS EVENING FOR NCZ106-108.
SC...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059.
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
THIS EVENING FOR SCZ054-056.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...SHK
KEY MESSAGES...SHK
DISCUSSION...SHK
AVIATION...SHK
MARINE...SHK
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