481
FXUS62 KILM 291813
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
213 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ALL SECTIONS UPDATED WITH NO CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1)RAIN/DROUGHT RELIEF NOT TO RETURN UNTIL SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...RAIN/DROUGHT RELIEF NOT TO RETURN UNTIL SUNDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
WV IMAGERY NOT LOOKING VERY JULY-LIKE WITH A DEEP
CUTOFF/OCCLUDED LOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. LOCALLY THE
RESULTING LOW LEVEL FLOW ACQUIRES A NORTHERLY COMPONENT MAKING
FOR LOWER DEWPOINTS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A
SEMBLANCE OF DRY ADVECTION THERE IS LITTLE TO NO THERMAL
ADVECTION KEEPING TEMPERATURES PRETTY CLOSE TO NORMAL. THE NEXT
TROUGH WILL BE DIVING INTO THE OH AND UPPER MS VALLEYS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ITS WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION WILL PUSH A
WARM FRONT THROUGH ON SUNDAY. DEWPOINTS RISE CONSIDERABLY SAT
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES THEN PRECIPITOUSLY RISING
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR. A LIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WHILE DOWNSLOPING FLOW ALOFT AROUND A TROUGH IN THE NE KEEPS SKIES
CLEAR.
EXTENDED FORECAST... VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DOMINATE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.
MARINE
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... THE POST-FRONTAL GRADIENT IS PROGGED TO
REMAIN VERY WEAK FOR DAYS NOW. WITH ALL OF THE LONGER PERIOD SWELL
ENERGY REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE THIS ONLY LEAVES BEHIND THE
DIMINUTIVE WIND WAVES. THIS WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER THE WEEKEND
AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE AREA AND WINDS AND SEAS BOTH
INCREASE, THOUGH THE SHORTER PERIODS WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EDT
THURSDAY FOR NCZ107.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...MBB
KEY MESSAGES...MBB
DISCUSSION...MBB
AVIATION...MBB
MARINE...MBB
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