832
FXUS62 KILM 292228
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
628 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION SECTION UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
1)RAIN/DROUGHT RELIEF NOT TO RETURN UNTIL SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...RAIN/DROUGHT RELIEF NOT TO RETURN UNTIL SUNDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
WV IMAGERY NOT LOOKING VERY JULY-LIKE WITH A DEEP
CUTOFF/OCCLUDED LOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. LOCALLY THE
RESULTING LOW LEVEL FLOW ACQUIRES A NORTHERLY COMPONENT MAKING
FOR LOWER DEWPOINTS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A
SEMBLANCE OF DRY ADVECTION THERE IS LITTLE TO NO THERMAL
ADVECTION KEEPING TEMPERATURES PRETTY CLOSE TO NORMAL. THE NEXT
TROUGH WILL BE DIVING INTO THE OH AND UPPER MS VALLEYS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ITS WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION WILL PUSH A
WARM FRONT THROUGH ON SUNDAY. DEWPOINTS RISE CONSIDERABLY SAT
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES THEN PRECIPITOUSLY RISING
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD. A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
KEEP WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE, WHILE DOWNSLOPING FLOW ALOFT
AROUND A TROUGH OVER THE NE KEEPS SKIES CLEAR ASIDE FROM A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS.
EXTENDED FORECAST... VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DOMINATE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, WITH A SMALL CHANCE FOR EARLY MORNING PATCHY
FOG/STRATUS EACH MORNING.
MARINE
THROUGH SUNDAY... THE POST-FRONTAL GRADIENT IS PROGGED TO
REMAIN VERY WEAK FOR DAYS NOW. WITH ALL OF THE LONGER PERIOD
SWELL ENERGY REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE THIS ONLY LEAVES BEHIND THE
DIMINUTIVE WIND WAVES. THIS WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER THE
WEEKEND AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE AREA AND WINDS
AND SEAS BOTH INCREASE, THOUGH THE SHORTER PERIODS WILL CONTINUE
TO DOMINATE.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NCZ107.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...MBB
KEY MESSAGES...MBB
DISCUSSION...MBB
AVIATION...MAS
MARINE...MBB
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