605
FXUS62 KILM 040011
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
811 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES TOMORROW FOR BRUNSWICK COUNTY
BEACHES AND NORTHERN HORRY COUNTY. 0Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.
KEY MESSAGES
1) UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES, WITH SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS LIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES, WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS LIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST
MIDWEEK.
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT WITH HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE. A SIMILAR PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE INTO MIDWEEK. ISOLATED
FLOODING COULD BE POSSIBLE SHOULD SLOW-MOVING, HEAVY RAINFALL MOVE
OVER THE SAME AREAS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THINGS WILL START TO SHIFT
INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND AS LESS MID-LEVEL
ENERGY TRAVERSES THE AREA AND HIGH PRESSURE ATTEMPTS TO BUILD
IN.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
MOSTLY VFR INTO EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THIS EVENING'S SHOWERS
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN, THOUGH SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR A
BIT. MVFR STRATUS IS FORECASTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AFTER 6Z,
PREDOMINANTLY FOR INLAND TERMINALS WHERE CIGS COULD LOWER TO
IFR. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR IFR-MVFR VISIBILITIES ALONG AND WEST
OF I-95 DURING PRE- DAWN HOURS, WITH BEST CHANCE AT KFLO. AN
UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE MOVING ACROSS OVERNIGHT WILL FIRE OFF
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE FORECASTED TO IMPACT COASTAL
TERMINALS, STARTING 6Z FOR MYR/CRE AND 9Z FOR ILM THROUGH
MORNING.
WIDESPREAD MVFR STRATUS WILL LINGER FOR MOST OF THE DAY
WEDNESDAY DUE TO VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE, IMPROVING AT SC
TERMINALS LATE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, ANOTHER DAY OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY COULD CREATE
VARIABLE CEILINGS AND COULD SEE CIGS, AND VSBYS, FLUCTUATING
QUITE A BIT. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST.
EXTENDED FORECAST...PERIODIC SUB-VFR RESTRICTIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. THE MOIST
LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS WILL ALSO SUPPORT A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR MORNING
STRATUS EACH DAY. WIDESPREAD VFR MIGHT RETURN LATE WEEK.
MARINE
6 FT WAVES MAY LINGER NEAR 20 NM OUT BUT OTHERWISE CONDITIONS WITHIN
20 NM WILL FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRESHOLDS. SHOWER/STORM
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH REDUCED VISIBILITY IN
HEAVY RAIN. SUB-SCA CONDITIONS THEREAFTER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WITH S/SE FLOW AS BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCKED IN PLACE OFF
TO THE EAST, BUT PERIODIC HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LINGER THROUGH
MIDWEEK.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS FROM 6 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR NCZ110.
SC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS FROM 6 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR SCZ054.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...VAO
KEY MESSAGES...ILM
DISCUSSION...ILM
AVIATION...ILM
MARINE...ILM
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