543
FXUS62 KILM 090540
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
140 AM EDT WED SEP 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
OVERALL FORECAST HAS CHANGED LITTLE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRIER WEATHER INITIALLY, THEN WARMER WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING DURING THE LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...DRIER WEATHER INITIALLY, THEN WARMER WITH RAIN
CHANCES RETURNING DURING THE WEEK.
MID LEVEL RIDGING WHICH IS SITUATED TO THE SOUTH WITH A BAND OF
WESTERLIES TO THE NORTH IS PROVIDING A COOL REPRIEVE FROM
RELENTLESS WEEKS OF HEAT AS MOST TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY WELL
INTO THE 60S THIS MORNING. THE PATTERN WILL SLOWLY SHIFT IN THE
DAYS AHEAD TO MORE UNSETTLED AS THE RIDGE GIVES WAY TO A MOIST
SOUTHWEST FLOW. THE WEEKEND IS ESPECIALLY LOOKING UNSETTLED AND
THIS IS WHERE THE HIGHEST POPS RESIDE. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
REVERT TO HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 80S TO THE LOWER 90S...DEPENDING
ON THE MOISTURE EXTENT WITH LOWS INCREASING INTO THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 70S.
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE. A FEW CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE AT COASTAL
TERMINALS TONIGHT, BUT EASTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK... PREDOMINANTLY VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH
DRY HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE, WITH RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLY RETURNING
IN CONVECTION AT TIMES THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MARINE
A MODEST SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL SHIFT FURTHER TO
SOUTHWEST IN A DAY OR TWO AND REMAIN IN PLACE AS THE SOUTHEAST
RETURNS TO AN UNSETTLED PATTERN. SYNOPTIC FEATURES REMAIN WEAK
IN THE MIDDLE OF SEPTEMBER OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS SO WIND
SPEEDS SHOULD BE 10-15 KNOTS AND SEAS 2-4 FEET. NO HEADLINES ARE
EXPECTED.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 9 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
NCZ107.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...SHK
KEY MESSAGES...SHK
DISCUSSION...SHK
AVIATION...SHK
MARINE...SHK
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