124
FXUS62 KILM 090922
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
522 AM EDT WED SEP 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 12Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRIER WEATHER INITIALLY, THEN WARMER WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING DURING THE LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...DRIER WEATHER INITIALLY, THEN WARMER WITH RAIN
CHANCES RETURNING DURING THE LATE WEEK.
MID LEVEL RIDGING WHICH IS SITUATED TO THE SOUTH WITH A BAND OF
WESTERLIES TO THE NORTH IS PROVIDING A COOL REPRIEVE FROM
RELENTLESS WEEKS OF HEAT AS MOST TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY WELL
INTO THE 60S THIS MORNING. THE PATTERN WILL SLOWLY SHIFT IN THE
DAYS AHEAD TO MORE UNSETTLED AS THE RIDGE GIVES WAY TO A MOIST
SOUTHWEST FLOW. THE WEEKEND IS ESPECIALLY LOOKING UNSETTLED AND
THIS IS WHERE THE HIGHEST POPS RESIDE. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
REVERT TO HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 80S TO THE LOWER 90S...DEPENDING
ON THE MOISTURE EXTENT WITH LOWS INCREASING INTO THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 70S.
AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS THRU MOST, IF NOT
ALL, OF THE 12Z TAF PERIOD. MORE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TONIGHT
COULD LEAD TO SOME FOG/LOW CLOUDS LATE, MAINLY AT THE INLAND
TERMINALS, BUT WILL ADDRESS THAT WITH LATER TAFS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK... PREDOMINANTLY VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH
DRY HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE, WITH RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLY RETURNING
IN CONVECTION AT TIMES THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MARINE
A MODEST SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL SHIFT FURTHER TO SOUTHWEST IN A
DAY OR TWO AND REMAIN IN PLACE AS THE SOUTHEAST RETURNS TO AN
UNSETTLED PATTERN. SYNOPTIC FEATURES REMAIN WEAK IN THE MIDDLE
OF SEPTEMBER OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS SO WIND SPEEDS SHOULD
BE 10-15 KNOTS AND SEAS 2-4 FEET. NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
NCZ107.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...RJB
KEY MESSAGES...SHK
DISCUSSION...SHK
AVIATION...RJB/SHK
MARINE...SHK
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