736  
FNUS52 KILM 191209  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
809 AM EDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THIS WEEKEND BEHIND A COLD FRONT  
MOVING ACROSS TONIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND  
IT LOOKS LIKE A STRONGER BOUNDARY BUT THERE WILL STILL BE LIMITED  
MOISTURE WITH ITS PASSAGE.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS MODERATE.  
 
NCZ105>110-200115-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,  
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH  
809 AM EDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 30  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 30 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 87 68 89  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 69 100 61  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR E 4 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.09 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM CONTINUING 8 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 AM 5 PM  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 73/0600 1900 78/1000  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3200 4300  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NE 10 E 7  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 32000 30100  
ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 8 POOR 25 FAIR  
ADI LATE 25 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 26 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 6 8  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 3  
MIN VSBY EARLY 6 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH  
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
96 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 93 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NCZ087-096-099-200115-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
809 AM EDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 30 20  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 30 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 68 89  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 65 100 54  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.06 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM CONTINUING 2 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 9 PM 5 PM  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 74/0900 1900 77/1000  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3700 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NE 10 NE 6  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 37000 26400  
ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 7 POOR 22 FAIR  
ADI LATE 27 FAIR 4 VERY POOR 32 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 7 8  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 3  
MIN VSBY EARLY 3 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
97 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 93 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-200115-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, RED HILL, LORIS, AND AYNOR  
809 AM EDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 30  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 50 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 89 69 87  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 66 100 64  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.22 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 77/1000 1900 76/1000  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4400 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NE 8 E 7  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 35200 28000  
ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 8 POOR 21 FAIR  
ADI LATE 29 FAIR 4 VERY POOR 25 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 7 8  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 3  
MIN VSBY EARLY 6 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY B F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 94 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200115-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
809 AM EDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 40 20 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 89 69 88  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 100 56  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.09 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 75/0900 1900 73/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4500 4600  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NE 8 NE 7  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 36000 32200  
ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 7 POOR 20 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 37 FAIR 4 VERY POOR 34 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 8 9  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 3  
MIN VSBY EARLY 3 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 92 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 
 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...29  
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