271
FNUS52 KILM 101839
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
239 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
DISCUSSION
A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL EXISTS, ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. RAIN
CHANCES WILL PERSIST INTO SUNDAY, BUT WITH LESS AREAL COVERAGE.
DRIER WEATHER RETURNS DURING NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE AREA.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS MODERATE.
NCZ105>110-110745-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH
239 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 50 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 70 82 62 81
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 81 100 61
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) E 10 G26 S 8 G21 SW 8 G23 W 7
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) SE 6 S 12 G25 W 6 G17 NW 7 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 1.47 0.52 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 11 8
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 75/0900 2000 63/0600
DISPERSION FAIR GOOD
DSI 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 2900 5100
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 25 NW 17
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 72500 86700
ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 39 FAIR 25 FAIR 56 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 9 POOR 55 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 80 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 6 3
MIN VSBY EARLY 2 RAIN 4 RAIN 7
MIN VSBY LATE 2 RAIN 5 RAIN 7
TURNER STABILITY D D E C
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT THROUGH TONIGHT.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NCZ087-096-099-110745-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
239 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 50 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 69 82 61 81
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 77 100 60
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) E 8 G25 S 6 G17 SW 6 G23 W 6
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) SE 4 S 10 G25 SW 5 NW 7 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.63 0.32 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 7
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 73/0900 2000 65/0900
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR
DSI 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 3400 5000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 22 NW 17
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 74800 85000
ADI EARLY 21 FAIR 40 FAIR 24 FAIR 63 GOOD
ADI LATE 8 POOR 58 GEN GOOD 9 POOR 76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 5 6 7
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 8 3
MIN VSBY EARLY 2 RAIN 3 RAIN 6 FOG
MIN VSBY LATE 2 RAIN 5 RAIN 7
TURNER STABILITY E D E B
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT THROUGH TONIGHT.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SCZ054>056-058-059-110745-
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-
NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, RED HILL, LORIS, AND AYNOR
239 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 70 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 50 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 72 82 61 82
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 70 100 57
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) E 7 G19 S 7 G19 SW 6 G21 W 6
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) SE 4 G17 SW 11 G22 W 5 NW 7 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.57 0.21 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 8 5
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 75/0900 2000 65/0900
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR
DSI 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 4000 5000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 22 NW 15
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 88000 75000
ADI EARLY 16 GEN POOR 42 GEN GOOD 24 FAIR 51 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 8 POOR 67 GOOD 7 POOR 82 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 5 6 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 6 3
MIN VSBY EARLY 2 RAIN 5 RAIN 7
MIN VSBY LATE 5 RAIN 6 RAIN 7
TURNER STABILITY E D E C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-110745-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
239 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 70 0 0
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 50 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 68 81 61 82
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 70 100 57
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) E 7 G23 S 6 G18 SW 6 G21 W 5
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G22 W 4 NW 6 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.38 0.17 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 7
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 73/0900 2000 65/0900
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR
DSI 1 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 4100 5000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 22 NW 16
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 90200 80000
ADI EARLY 15 GEN POOR 45 GEN GOOD 25 FAIR 58 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 8 POOR 66 GOOD 7 POOR 71 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 5 7 7
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 8 3
MIN VSBY EARLY 2 RAIN 3 RAIN 7
MIN VSBY LATE 2 RAIN 6 RAIN 7
TURNER STABILITY E D F B
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
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